Sport Picks

England

Women's League Cup 2016 Meadow Park

Notts County W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Arsenal W play Notts County W in the Women's League Cup 2016. Arsenal W are favorites here. Recently, Arsenal W averaged 2.29 goals scored and 0.65 conceded. Notts County W averaged 1.14 goals scored and 2.1 conceded. In past meetings, Arsenal W won 4, Notts County W won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Apr 23, 2017 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.10 for Arsenal W and 0.69 for Notts County W. This points to a Arsenal W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%

Arsenal W

16%

Draws

22%

Notts County W

Draw rate projection: 16% Favored: Arsenal W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Arsenal W picked up more points recently compared to Notts County W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.10 vs 0.69 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 47%

Arsenal W Clean Sheet 28%

Notts County W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 74%

Second Half Goal 78%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Arsenal W	Notts County W
Matches Played	34	21
Wins	26	6
Draws	4	4
Losses	4	11
Goals Scored	2.29	1.14
Goals Conceded	0.65	2.1

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2017 WSL

Arsenal W vs Notts County W

Possession: 48% - 43% Cards: 1 - 3

0:0

Aug 28, 2016 WSL

Notts County W vs Arsenal W

Possession: 44% - 42% Cards: 3 - 1

0:2

Aug 5, 2016 Women's League Cup

Arsenal W vs Notts County W

Possession: 47% - 46% Cards: 1 - 3

3:2

Jul 10, 2016 WSL

Arsenal W vs Notts County W

Possession: 40% - 48% Cards: 2 - 0

2:0

Apr 3, 2016 Women’s FA Cup

Arsenal W vs Notts County W

Possession: 53% - 49% Cards: 4 - 1

3:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal W 61 / 100

Notts County W 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Arsenal W Notts County W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arsenal W Win (1)

Secondary Pick Arsenal W & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +14.7%

1.85

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Arsenal W attacking → ← attacking Notts County W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsenal W scored in 85% of their last 34 games.

Notts County W let in goals in 95% of their last 21 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Arsenal W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Notts County W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

82 Points in last 5 22

3.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00

0.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00