Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arsenal W vs Notts County W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Women’s FA Cup 2015/2016 Meadow Park, Borehamwood
Arsenal W Logo

Arsenal W

Sun, Apr 3, 2016
3 - 2
01:00 PM
Notts County W Logo

Notts County W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Arsenal W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Arsenal W
20%
Draws
30%
Notts County W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arsenal W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Arsenal W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Arsenal W taking it.
  • Arsenal W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Arsenal W, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Arsenal W have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Arsenal W Clean Sheet 20%
Notts County W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsenal W Notts County W
Matches Played 36 21
Wins 25 6
Draws 5 3
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 2.22 1.05
Goals Conceded 0.78 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 2.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 23, 2017 WSL
Arsenal W vs Notts County W
0:0
Aug 28, 2016 WSL
Notts County W vs Arsenal W
0:2
Aug 5, 2016 Women's League Cup
Arsenal W vs Notts County W
3:2
Jul 10, 2016 WSL
Arsenal W vs Notts County W
2:0
Apr 3, 2016 Women’s FA Cup
Arsenal W vs Notts County W
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsenal W 85 / 100
Notts County W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsenal W Notts County W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arsenal W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Arsenal W scored in 83% of their last 36 outings.

Defensive concern: Notts County W conceded in 95% of 21 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Arsenal W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arsenal W VS Notts County W
2.38 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 3
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsenal W

(Home)
04 Oct
Manchester City W
4 : 2
Arsenal W
30 Sept
Paris FC W
2 : 2
Arsenal W
27 Sept
Chelsea W
1 : 0
Arsenal W
22 Sept
Arsenal W
1 : 0
Koge W
19 Sept
Arsenal W
1 : 1
Manchester United W
Page 1 of 8

Notts County W

(Away)
02 Aug
Notts County W
0 : 3
Peterborough W
03 Nov
Notts County W
0 : 5
Sporting Khalsa W
09 Jul
Notts County W
0 : 6
Milton Keynes Dons W
26 Mar
Liverpool W
2 : 0
Notts County W
19 Mar
Notts County W
3 : 2
Yeovil W
Page 1 of 5

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Birmingham W -
TBD -
TBD -
Arsenal W -
Notts County W -
TBD -
Durham W 3
Charlton W 1
Bristol City W 0
Yeovil W 1
TBD -
Sunderland W -
Reading W -
TBD -
Loughborough Foxes W 0
London City Lionesses W 1
Doncaster W -
TBD -
TBD -
Chelsea W -
Tottenham W 2
Aston Villa W 3
Everton W 5
Nottingham W 0
Liverpool W -
TBD -
TBD -
Manchester City W -
Brighton W 5
Blackburn W 2
Sheffield Wed W 1
Sporting Club Albion W 3
1/8-finals
Birmingham W 1
Arsenal W 2
Notts County W 3
Durham W 1
Yeovil W 0
Sunderland W 2
Reading W 2
London City Lionesses W 0
Doncaster W 1
Chelsea W 4
Aston Villa W 1
Everton W 0
Liverpool W 0
Manchester City W 2
Brighton W 3
Sporting Club Albion W 4
Quarter-finals
Arsenal W 3
Notts County W 2
Sunderland W 3
Reading W 0
Chelsea W 6
Aston Villa W 0
Manchester City W 2
Sporting Club Albion W 0
Semi-finals
Arsenal W 7
Sunderland W 0
Chelsea W 2
Manchester City W 1
Final
Arsenal W 1
Chelsea W 0