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Arsimi vs Bregalnica Stip - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arsimi host Bregalnica Stip in the 1. MFL. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Bregalnica Stip have shipped 0.83 goals a game lately, while Arsimi have conceded 1.59 and scored 1.55. Past meetings favor Bregalnica Stip slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 8, 2026, ending 4:0. The numbers (1.50 xG vs 1.75) point toward Bregalnica Stip. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Arsimi
30%
Draws
41%
Bregalnica Stip
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Bregalnica Stip

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Bregalnica Stip carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Arsimi are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Arsimi Clean Sheet 12%
Bregalnica Stip Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsimi Bregalnica Stip
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 21
Draws 6 3
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.55 2.76
Goals Conceded 1.59 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 1. MFL
Bregalnica Stip vs Arsimi
4:0
May 3, 2025 2. MFL
Arsimi vs Bregalnica Stip
2:1
Feb 1, 2025 Club Friendly
Bregalnica Stip vs Arsimi
0:0
Nov 10, 2024 2. MFL
Bregalnica Stip vs Arsimi
2:1
Aug 10, 2024 Club Friendly
Arsimi vs Bregalnica Stip
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsimi 65 / 100
Bregalnica Stip 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsimi Bregalnica Stip

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arsimi Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arsimi's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Arsimi went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bregalnica Stip has conceded goals in 52% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arsimi VS Bregalnica Stip
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsimi

(Home)
24 Sept
Mogila
0 : 12
Arsimi
21 Sept
Struga
6 : 0
Arsimi
11 Sept
Arsimi
2 : 2
Shkendija Tetovo
07 Sept
Vardar
2 : 0
Arsimi
29 Aug
Arsimi
0 : 0
FK Skopje
Page 1 of 6

Bregalnica Stip

(Away)
23 Sept
Bregalnica Stip
1 : 0
FK Skopje
13 Sept
Sileks
2 : 2
Bregalnica Stip
09 Sept
Teteks
1 : 4
Bregalnica Stip
04 Sept
Bregalnica Stip
0 : 1
Shkendija Haracine
28 Aug
Struga
4 : 0
Bregalnica Stip
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shkendija Tetovo 8 6 1 1 20:8 19
2 Struga 8 5 2 1 19:5 17
3 Vardar 8 4 2 2 14:8 14
4 Tikves 8 3 4 1 17:7 13
5 Shkendija Haracine 8 4 1 3 6:9 13
6 Bregalnica Stip 8 3 1 4 11:13 10
7 Sileks 8 2 3 3 13:10 9
8 Arsimi 8 2 2 4 6:19 8
9 Bashkimi 8 1 1 6 7:25 4
10 FK Skopje 8 0 3 5 3:12 3
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL 2027/2028 (Main)