Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arsimi vs Struga

North Macedonia North Macedonia

1. MFL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Zendelovski A.
46'
Sub
Rochi F. In: Ilievski B.
Out: Rochi F.
46' Event
Besagic A.

AI Match Summary

The 1. MFL 2025/2026 game between Arsimi and Struga finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arsimi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
Arsimi
30%
Draws
51%
Struga
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Struga

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Struga come out ahead of Arsimi on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Struga's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Struga here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Arsimi Clean Sheet 10%
Struga Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arsimi Struga
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 14
Draws 6 7
Losses 12 9
Goals Scored 1.5 2.17
Goals Conceded 1.6 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 2.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 21, 2026 1. MFL
Struga vs Arsimi
6:0
Jul 8, 2026 Club Friendly
Struga vs Arsimi
6:0
May 23, 2026 1. MFL
Arsimi vs Struga
1:0
Nov 8, 2025 1. MFL
Struga vs Arsimi
4:0
Aug 15, 2025 1. MFL
Arsimi vs Struga
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arsimi Compare

Top Goalscorer Besagic A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Struga Compare

Avg xG / game 2.05
Avg xA / game 1.25

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arsimi 10 / 100
Struga 85 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arsimi Struga

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Struga Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Arsimi scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Arsimi has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Struga has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arsimi VS Struga
1.13 Goals Scored 2.75
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arsimi

(Home)
24 Sept
Mogila
0 : 12
Arsimi
21 Sept
Struga
6 : 0
Arsimi
11 Sept
Arsimi
2 : 2
Shkendija Tetovo
07 Sept
Vardar
2 : 0
Arsimi
29 Aug
Arsimi
0 : 0
FK Skopje
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Struga

(Away)
21 Sept
Struga
6 : 0
Arsimi
11 Sept
Tikves
2 : 2
Struga
07 Sept
Struga
1 : 0
Sileks
02 Sept
Pobeda Valandovo
1 : 10
Struga
28 Aug
Struga
4 : 0
Bregalnica Stip
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vardar 33 26 5 2 80:21 83
2 Shkendija Tetovo 33 23 5 5 67:30 74
3 Struga 33 19 5 9 68:28 62
4 Sileks 33 16 5 12 59:36 53
5 Tikves 33 14 6 13 59:47 48
6 Arsimi 33 13 7 13 50:53 46
7 Bashkimi 33 11 9 13 40:54 42
8 Pelister 33 10 10 13 41:42 40
9 Brera Strumica 33 10 10 13 46:56 40
10 Makedonija GP 33 9 7 17 42:57 34
11 Rabotnicki 33 9 6 18 45:58 33
12 Shkupi 33 0 1 32 15:130 1
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - 1. MFL 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - 2. MFL (Main)