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Artemisa vs Mayabeque Guines

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Liga Nacional 2023 game between Artemisa and Mayabeque Guines finished 6-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Artemisa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Artemisa
20%
Draws
38%
Mayabeque Guines
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Artemisa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Artemisa come out ahead of Mayabeque Guines on wins alone.
  • Artemisa are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Artemisa have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Artemisa Clean Sheet 20%
Mayabeque Guines Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Artemisa Mayabeque Guines
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 14 3
Draws 7 4
Losses 9 21
Goals Scored 1.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.5 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 10, 2024 Liga Nacional
Artemisa vs Mayabeque Guines
0:0
Mar 29, 2023 Liga Nacional
Artemisa vs Mayabeque Guines
6:0
Apr 9, 2022 Liga Nacional
Mayabeque Guines vs Artemisa
0:3
Feb 19, 2022 Liga Nacional
Artemisa vs Mayabeque Guines
5:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Artemisa 42 / 100
Mayabeque Guines 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Artemisa Mayabeque Guines

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Artemisa found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Mayabeque Guines's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 28 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Away concern: Mayabeque Guines has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Artemisa VS Mayabeque Guines
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cienfuegos761014:219
2FC La Habana752011:217
3Matanzas740311:812
4Artemisa731315:810
5FC Villa Clara72146:117
6Isla de La Juventud72145:107
7Pinar del Rio71246:155
8Mayabeque Guines71064:163
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Santiago de Cuba742114:514
2FC Guantanamo742112:614
3FC Holguin74129:713
4FC Camaguey73319:412
5CF Granma73045:99
6FC Sancti Spiritus72142:67
7FC Ciego de Avila72145:107
8Las Tunas70253:122