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Artsul vs AA Carapebus - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Bere
16' Event
Batata
(Penalty)
42' Event
Pedro Cavalini

AI Match Summary

Artsul in this Carioca B1 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Artsul.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

62%
Artsul
30%
Draws
8%
AA Carapebus
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Artsul

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

62% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Artsul lately — more wins on the board than AA Carapebus.
  • Artsul are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Carioca B1 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
Artsul Clean Sheet 68%
AA Carapebus Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Artsul AA Carapebus
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 9
Draws 8 6
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.1 1.17
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Carioca B1
Artsul vs AA Carapebus
0:0
Oct 25, 2025 Carioca B1
Artsul vs AA Carapebus
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Artsul Compare

Top Goalscorer Bere
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pedro Cavalini
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

AA Carapebus Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Artsul 86 / 100
AA Carapebus 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Artsul AA Carapebus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Artsul Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Artsul scored in 62% of their last 29 games.

AA Carapebus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 66% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Artsul went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Artsul VS AA Carapebus
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Artsul

(Home)
03 Oct
Artsul
3 : 4
Serrano FC
26 Sept
Macae
0 : 0
Artsul
19 Sept
Artsul
0 : 0
AA Carapebus
12 Sept
Artsul
3 : 2
Campo Grande
06 Sept
Audax RJ
0 : 2
Artsul
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AA Carapebus

(Away)
03 Oct
Macae
4 : 3
AA Carapebus
25 Sept
AA Carapebus
0 : 1
Sao Cristovao
19 Sept
Artsul
0 : 0
AA Carapebus
11 Sept
AA Carapebus
1 : 4
Duque de Caxias
05 Sept
Campo Grande
1 : 0
AA Carapebus
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bonsucesso 11 6 4 1 14:7 22
2 Sao Cristovao 11 5 4 2 14:8 19
3 Serrano FC 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
4 Duque de Caxias 11 5 3 3 10:9 18
5 Niteroiense 11 4 4 3 16:14 16
6 Goncalense 11 5 1 5 11:9 16
7 Nova Cidade 11 4 4 3 9:9 16
8 Campo Grande 11 3 6 2 9:8 15
9 Artsul 11 3 4 4 11:10 13
10 AA Carapebus 11 3 3 5 6:13 12
11 Paduano EC 11 3 1 7 12:18 10
12 Friburguense 11 1 1 9 3:13 4
Promotion - Carioca B1 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2025 (Main)