Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Artsul vs Friburguense

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

58'
Gomes I.
81' Event
Babi

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B1 2025 game between Artsul and Friburguense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Artsul.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Artsul
30%
Draws
39%
Friburguense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Friburguense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Artsul come out ahead of Friburguense on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • Regular Carioca B1 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Artsul Clean Sheet 20%
Friburguense Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Artsul Friburguense
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 11 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.07 0.71
Goals Conceded 0.82 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 28, 2025 Carioca B1
Artsul vs Friburguense
1:0
Oct 26, 2024 Carioca B1
Friburguense vs Artsul
2:0
May 27, 2023 Carioca 2
Friburguense vs Artsul
0:2
May 7, 2022 Carioca 2
Artsul vs Friburguense
1:1
Jun 26, 2021 Carioca 2
Friburguense vs Artsul
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Artsul Compare

Top Goalscorer Babi
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Friburguense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Artsul 36 / 100
Friburguense 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Artsul Friburguense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Friburguense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Artsul's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Friburguense let in goals in 61% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Artsul went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Artsul VS Friburguense
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 38%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Artsul

(Home)
19 Sept
Artsul
0 : 0
AA Carapebus
12 Sept
Artsul
3 : 2
Campo Grande
06 Sept
Audax RJ
0 : 2
Artsul
08 Nov
Artsul
1 : 1
Sao Cristovao
05 Nov
Goncalense
1 : 0
Artsul
Page 1 of 6

Friburguense

(Away)
20 Sept
Friburguense
2 : 0
Campos AA
13 Sept
Paraty
1 : 4
Friburguense
06 Sept
Friburguense
0 : 0
Barra Mansa
30 Aug
Serra Macaense
0 : 1
Friburguense
08 Nov
Nova Cidade
1 : 0
Friburguense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bonsucesso 11 6 4 1 14:7 22
2 Sao Cristovao 11 5 4 2 14:8 19
3 Serrano FC 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
4 Duque de Caxias 11 5 3 3 10:9 18
5 Niteroiense 11 4 4 3 16:14 16
6 Goncalense 11 5 1 5 11:9 16
7 Nova Cidade 11 4 4 3 9:9 16
8 Campo Grande 11 3 6 2 9:8 15
9 Artsul 11 3 4 4 11:10 13
10 AA Carapebus 11 3 3 5 6:13 12
11 Paduano EC 11 3 1 7 12:18 10
12 Friburguense 11 1 1 9 3:13 4
Promotion - Carioca B1 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2025 (Main)