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Artsul vs Niteroiense

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2025
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Match Events

29' Event
Leo Itaperuna
33' Event
Max Nobrega
45' Event
Max Nobrega

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B1 2025 game between Artsul and Niteroiense finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Artsul
39%
Draws
30%
Niteroiense
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Niteroiense come out ahead of Artsul on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Artsul Clean Sheet 21%
Niteroiense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Artsul Niteroiense
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 15
Draws 10 9
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 1.25 1.25
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2025 Carioca B1
Artsul vs Niteroiense
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Artsul Compare

Top Goalscorer Max Nobrega
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Niteroiense Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo Itaperuna
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Artsul 32 / 100
Niteroiense 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Artsul Niteroiense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick NIT Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Artsul scored in 65% of their last 31 games.

Niteroiense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Recent resilience: Artsul stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Artsul VS Niteroiense
1.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Artsul

(Home)
08 Nov
Artsul
1 : 1
Sao Cristovao
05 Nov
Goncalense
1 : 0
Artsul
01 Nov
Artsul
1 : 2
Serrano FC
25 Oct
Artsul
3 : 1
AA Carapebus
18 Oct
Nova Cidade
0 : 0
Artsul
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Niteroiense

(Away)
08 Nov
Niteroiense
5 : 1
Paduano EC
05 Nov
Niteroiense
0 : 0
Duque de Caxias
01 Nov
Friburguense
0 : 1
Niteroiense
24 Oct
Campo Grande
1 : 1
Niteroiense
18 Oct
Niteroiense
2 : 3
Bonsucesso
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bonsucesso1164114:722
2Sao Cristovao1154214:819
3Serrano FC1153314:1118
4Duque de Caxias1153310:918
5Niteroiense1144316:1416
6Goncalense1151511:916
7Nova Cidade114439:916
8Campo Grande113629:815
9Artsul1134411:1013
10AA Carapebus113356:1312
11Paduano EC1131712:1810
12Friburguense111193:134
Promotion - Carioca B1 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2025 (Main)