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Artsul vs Niteroiense

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2025
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Match Events

29' Event
Leo Itaperuna
33' Event
Max Nobrega
45' Event
Max Nobrega

AI Match Summary

The Carioca B1 2025 game between Artsul and Niteroiense finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Artsul
30%
Draws
43%
Niteroiense
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Niteroiense

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Niteroiense come out ahead of Artsul on wins alone.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Niteroiense taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Artsul Clean Sheet 18%
Niteroiense Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Artsul Niteroiense
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 8 10
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.27 1.59
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2025 Carioca B1
Artsul vs Niteroiense
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Artsul Compare

Top Goalscorer Max Nobrega
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Niteroiense Compare

Top Goalscorer Leo Itaperuna
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Artsul 23 / 100
Niteroiense 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Artsul Niteroiense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Niteroiense Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Artsul scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Niteroiense's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Recent resilience: Artsul stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Artsul VS Niteroiense
1.25 Goals Scored 1.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Artsul

(Home)
12 Sept
Artsul
3 : 2
Campo Grande
06 Sept
Audax RJ
0 : 2
Artsul
08 Nov
Artsul
1 : 1
Sao Cristovao
05 Nov
Goncalense
1 : 0
Artsul
01 Nov
Artsul
1 : 2
Serrano FC
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Niteroiense

(Away)
12 Sept
Goncalense
1 : 1
Niteroiense
05 Sept
Niteroiense
2 : 0
Serrano FC
08 Nov
Niteroiense
5 : 1
Paduano EC
05 Nov
Niteroiense
0 : 0
Duque de Caxias
01 Nov
Friburguense
0 : 1
Niteroiense
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bonsucesso 11 6 4 1 14:7 22
2 Sao Cristovao 11 5 4 2 14:8 19
3 Serrano FC 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
4 Duque de Caxias 11 5 3 3 10:9 18
5 Niteroiense 11 4 4 3 16:14 16
6 Goncalense 11 5 1 5 11:9 16
7 Nova Cidade 11 4 4 3 9:9 16
8 Campo Grande 11 3 6 2 9:8 15
9 Artsul 11 3 4 4 11:10 13
10 AA Carapebus 11 3 3 5 6:13 12
11 Paduano EC 11 3 1 7 12:18 10
12 Friburguense 11 1 1 9 3:13 4
Promotion - Carioca B1 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2025 (Main)