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Artsul vs Nova Cidade

Brazil Brazil

Carioca B1 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Rafael Pernao
75' Event
Jefinho

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Carioca B1 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Artsul
40%
Draws
29%
Nova Cidade
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Artsul at 1.13 per game, Nova Cidade at 0.63.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Carioca B1 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Artsul Clean Sheet 20%
Nova Cidade Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Artsul Nova Cidade
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 9 9
Draws 10 11
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Carioca B1
Nova Cidade vs Artsul
0:0
Sep 21, 2024 Carioca B1
Artsul vs Nova Cidade
1:1
Nov 18, 2020 Carioca 2
Nova Cidade vs Artsul
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Artsul Compare

Top Goalscorer Rafael Pernao
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Nova Cidade Compare

Top Goalscorer Jefinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Artsul 32 / 100
Nova Cidade 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Artsul Nova Cidade

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Artsul's goal record stands at 65% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Nova Cidade has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Artsul went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Artsul VS Nova Cidade
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Artsul

(Home)
08 Nov
Artsul
1 : 1
Sao Cristovao
05 Nov
Goncalense
1 : 0
Artsul
01 Nov
Artsul
1 : 2
Serrano FC
25 Oct
Artsul
3 : 1
AA Carapebus
18 Oct
Nova Cidade
0 : 0
Artsul
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Nova Cidade

(Away)
08 Nov
Nova Cidade
1 : 0
Friburguense
05 Nov
Nova Cidade
1 : 0
Campo Grande
01 Nov
Duque de Caxias
2 : 2
Nova Cidade
25 Oct
Bonsucesso
1 : 0
Nova Cidade
18 Oct
Nova Cidade
0 : 0
Artsul
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Artsul851210:516
2Paduano EC85126:316
3Sao Goncalo834110:213
4Perolas Negras83238:911
5Friburguense82425:410
6Nova Cidade824210:1110
7Sao Cristovao82153:97
8Serrano FC81345:96
9Belford Roxo80625:106
Promotion - Carioca B1 2024 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Carioca B2 2024 (Main)