Sport Picks

North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024

Aruba

5 - 1

Cayman Islands

Our Tip

Match Events

16'

Groothusen T.

45'

Ostiana R.

49'

Studenhofft G.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 game between Aruba and Cayman Islands finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aruba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Aruba

20%

Draws

38%

Cayman Islands

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aruba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Cayman Islands haven't matched Aruba's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Aruba's way, sitting at 42%.
Regular CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Aruba have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Aruba Clean Sheet 16%

Cayman Islands Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Aruba	Cayman Islands
Matches Played	30	31
Wins	10	8
Draws	4	6
Losses	16	17
Goals Scored	1	0.88
Goals Conceded	2	2
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.00	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 20, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League

Aruba vs Cayman Islands

Possession: 43% - 49% Cards: 3 - 2

5:1

Sep 11, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League

Cayman Islands vs Aruba

Possession: 60% - 40% Cards: 3 - 2

1:2

Jun 2, 2021 World Championship

Cayman Islands vs Aruba

Possession: 43% - 44% Cards: 1 - 1

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aruba Compare

Top Goalscorer Groothusen T.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Ostiana R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Cayman Islands Compare

Top Goalscorer Studenhofft G.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.8

Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aruba 41 / 100

Cayman Islands 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Aruba Cayman Islands

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Cayman Islands conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

Aruba has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Aruba scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

Aruba VS Cayman Islands

1 Goals Scored 0.88

2 Goals Conceded 2

75% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Saint Martin	4	4	0	20:1	12
2	Bonaire	4	2	2	6:6	6
3	Anguilla	4	0	4	0:19	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Aruba	4	4	0	0	14:4	12
2	Cayman Islands	4	1	1	2	6:10	4
3	United States Virgin Islands	4	0	1	3	5:11	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Dominica	4	3	1	0	8:2	10
2	British Virgin Islands	4	1	2	1	7:6	5
3	Turks and Caicos Islands	4	0	1	3	3:10	1