Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Aruba vs Cayman Islands

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Groothusen T.
45' Event
Ostiana R.
49' Event
Studenhofft G.

AI Match Summary

The CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 game between Aruba and Cayman Islands finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aruba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Aruba
20%
Draws
33%
Cayman Islands
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Aruba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Cayman Islands haven't matched Aruba's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Aruba's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular CONCACAF Nations League 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Aruba have won 3 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Aruba Clean Sheet 19%
Cayman Islands Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Aruba Cayman Islands
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 7
Draws 4 6
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.52 0.86
Goals Conceded 2.1 2.41
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 20, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Aruba vs Cayman Islands
5:1
Sep 11, 2023 CONCACAF Nations League
Cayman Islands vs Aruba
1:2
Jun 2, 2021 World Championship
Cayman Islands vs Aruba
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Aruba Compare

Top Goalscorer Groothusen T.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ostiana R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Cayman Islands Compare

Top Goalscorer Studenhofft G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Aruba 49 / 100
Cayman Islands 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Aruba Cayman Islands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Aruba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.33 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Cayman Islands conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Aruba has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Aruba scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Aruba VS Cayman Islands
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Aruba

(Home)
07 Jun
Curacao
4 : 0
Aruba
29 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1
Liechtenstein
26 Mar
Aruba
4 : 1
Macau
15 Nov
Barbados
0 : 3
Aruba
12 Nov
Antigua and Barbuda
0 : 0
Aruba
Page 1 of 6

Cayman Islands

(Away)
06 Jun
Gibraltar
4 : 1
Cayman Islands
30 Mar
Cayman Islands
1 : 0
Bahamas
27 Mar
Cayman Islands
1 : 1
British Virgin Islands
16 Nov
Cayman Islands
4 : 0
Anguilla
13 Nov
Cayman Islands
1 : 2
British Virgin Islands
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Saint Martin 4 4 0 0 20:1 12
2 Bonaire 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
3 Anguilla 4 0 0 4 0:19 0
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aruba 4 4 0 0 14:4 12
2 Cayman Islands 4 1 1 2 6:10 4
3 United States Virgin Islands 4 0 1 3 5:11 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Dominica 4 3 1 0 8:2 10
2 British Virgin Islands 4 1 2 1 7:6 5
3 Turks and Caicos Islands 4 0 1 3 3:10 1
Promotion - CONCACAF Nations League 2024/2025 (League B)
Ranking of third-placed teams