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Stadium Background

ARUC vs Brasilia FC (DF)

Brazil Brazil

Brasiliense Rorizao
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Muller L.

AI Match Summary

The Brasiliense game between ARUC and Brasilia FC (DF) finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Brasilia FC (DF).

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
ARUC
39%
Draws
30%
Brasilia FC (DF)
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Brasilia FC (DF) come out ahead of ARUC on wins alone.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Brasiliense form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
ARUC Clean Sheet 16%
Brasilia FC (DF) Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric ARUC Brasilia FC (DF)
Matches Played 16 30
Wins 6 9
Draws 2 3
Losses 8 18
Goals Scored 1.5 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 31, 2026 Brasiliense
ARUC vs Brasilia FC (DF)
0:1
Sep 13, 2025 Brasiliense 2
Brasilia FC (DF) vs ARUC
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

ARUC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Brasilia FC (DF) Compare

Top Goalscorer Muller L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

ARUC 31 / 100
Brasilia FC (DF) 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
ARUC Brasilia FC (DF)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick BRA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Brasilia FC (DF)'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Away concern: Brasilia FC (DF) has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

ARUC scored in 50% of their last 16 games.

Scoring Trends

ARUC VS Brasilia FC (DF)
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gama972015:423
2Samambaia962121:520
3Sobradinho952211:817
4Ceilandia951317:1216
5Capital943219:1015
6Brasiliense943213:715
7Real Brasilia931511:1310
8Paranoa92078:246
9Brasilia FC (DF)91084:193
10ARUC91083:203