Sport Picks
Arucas vs Gran Tarajal - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2023/2024 
Match Events
1'
1'
Benitez S.
28'
28'
Socorro V.
48'
48'
Kimetz Garcia M. D. S.
AI Match Summary
Arucas in this Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arucas.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
58%
30%
12%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arucas
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
58%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Arucas lately — more wins on the board than Gran Tarajal.
- Win probability leans Arucas's way, sitting at 80%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Arucas Clean Sheet 68%
Gran Tarajal Clean Sheet 14%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arucas | Gran Tarajal |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 4 |
| Draws | 11 | 9 |
| Losses | 13 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 0.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.38 | 1.47 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.10 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 3, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Arucas vs Gran Tarajal
2:1
Oct 15, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Gran Tarajal vs Arucas
0:1
Apr 9, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Gran Tarajal vs Arucas
0:1
Dec 10, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Arucas vs Gran Tarajal
0:1
Apr 16, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Arucas vs Gran Tarajal
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arucas Compare
Top Goalscorer Socorro V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Kimetz Garcia M. D. S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.55
Gran Tarajal Compare
Top Goalscorer Benitez S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arucas 86 / 100
Gran Tarajal 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arucas Gran Tarajal
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Arucas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arucas found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (32 games).
Gran Tarajal has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
Games between these two average 2.00 goals.
Arucas has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Arucas VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
2 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Arucas
(Home) 10 May
CD Marino
1 : 2 Arucas
03 May
Arucas
0 : 1 Mensajero
25 Apr
Tenerife C
1 : 1 Arucas
22 Apr
Union Sur Yaiza
3 : 0 Arucas
18 Apr
Arucas
0 : 0 San Bartolome
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03 May
Arucas
0 : 1 Mensajero
18 Apr
Arucas
0 : 0 San Bartolome
28 Mar
Arucas
1 : 2 Villa Santa Brigida
14 Mar
Arucas
3 : 0 San Miguel
28 Feb
Arucas
2 : 0 SD Tenisca
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Gran Tarajal
(Away) 12 May
Ibarra
4 : 0 Gran Tarajal
05 May
Gran Tarajal
2 : 2 Atletico Victoria
01 May
San Bartolome
2 : 0 Gran Tarajal
28 Apr
CD La Cuadra
2 : 0 Gran Tarajal
24 Apr
Gran Tarajal
0 : 1 CD Buzanada
Page 1 of 6
12 May
Ibarra
4 : 0 Gran Tarajal
01 May
San Bartolome
2 : 0 Gran Tarajal
28 Apr
CD La Cuadra
2 : 0 Gran Tarajal
13 Apr
Union Sur Yaiza
2 : 1 Gran Tarajal
27 Mar
Herbania
0 : 0 Gran Tarajal
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tenerife B | 34 | 24 | 8 | 2 | 68:22 | 80 |
| 2 | Lanzarote | 34 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 64:28 | 75 |
| 3 | Union Sur Yaiza | 34 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 62:19 | 74 |
| 4 | Las Palmas B | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 74:24 | 74 |
| 5 | Panaderia | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 52:39 | 55 |
| 6 | Arucas | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51:41 | 47 |
| 7 | CD Santa Ursula | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 35:38 | 43 |
| 8 | San Bartolome | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43:42 | 42 |
| 9 | Villa Santa Brigida | 34 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 41:36 | 41 |
| 10 | Tamaraceite | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:56 | 41 |
| 11 | CD Marino | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 42:53 | 39 |
| 12 | CD Buzanada | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 29:42 | 39 |
| 13 | Herbania | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 30:46 | 38 |
| 14 | Ibarra | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 35:45 | 36 |
| 15 | Atletico Victoria | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 33:53 | 32 |
| 16 | Teror | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 29:67 | 26 |
| 17 | Gran Tarajal | 34 | 4 | 12 | 18 | 21:54 | 24 |
| 18 | CD La Cuadra | 34 | 6 | 4 | 24 | 26:72 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 12 2023/2024 (Play Offs)
