Sport Picks

Estonia

Estonian Cup 2025/2026 Arukula Stadium, Arukula

Arukula Vigri

0 - 4

Kristiine

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with Kristiine advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%

Arukula Vigri

15%

Draws

57%

Kristiine

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Kristiine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence

Kristiine carry the better recent record into this one.
Model gives Kristiine a 57% chance of winning this.
Kristiine arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor Kristiine, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 95%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 95%

Over 3.5 Goals 94%

Over 4.5 Goals 42%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Arukula Vigri Clean Sheet 10%

Kristiine Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Arukula Vigri	Kristiine
Matches Played	8	18
Wins	2	5
Draws	0	0
Losses	6	13
Goals Scored	1	1.94
Goals Conceded	5.63	4.72
Expected Goals (xG)	2.50	3.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 30, 2025 Estonian Cup

Arukula Vigri vs Kristiine

0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arukula Vigri 26 / 100

Kristiine 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Arukula Vigri Kristiine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kristiine Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Kristiine has conceded goals in 94% of their last 18 outings.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Difficult form: Kristiine registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Arukula Vigri found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (8 games).

Scoring Trends

Arukula Vigri VS Kristiine

1 Goals Scored 2.13

5.63 Goals Conceded 4

88% Over 1.5 100%

88% Over 2.5 100%

88% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Arukula Vigri

(Home)

22 Jul

Arukula Vigri

0 : 1

Raasiku Joker

30 Jul

Arukula Vigri

0 : 4

Kristiine

13 Aug

Narva

7 : 0

Arukula Vigri

18 Oct

Laanemaa Haapsalu

9 : 1

Arukula Vigri

06 Sept

JK Poseidon

2 : 3

Arukula Vigri

Page 1 of 2

Kristiine

(Away)

11 Aug

Kristiine

0 : 8

Kuressaare

21 Jul

Kristiine

8 : 3

Jogeva Wolves

10 Sept

Tartu JK Welco

8 : 0

Kristiine

30 Jul

Arukula Vigri

0 : 4

Kristiine

31 Jul

Kristiine

0 : 5

Legion

Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Flora -

TBD -

Kohvile -

TBD -

Helm -

Levadia -

TBD -

Flora U18 -

TBD -

Flora Tallinn U21 -

Tabasalu Ulasabat -

TBD -

Eston Villa -

Harju JK Laagri -

TBD -

TransferWise -

Tallinna Wolves 6

Soccernet 4

TBD -

Raasiku Joker -

Nomme Utd -

TBD -

Harju JK Laagri III -

Saue JK Laagri -

TBD -

Maksatransport -

Tartu JK Welco 2 -

TBD -

Narva -

Lootus JK Jarve -

TBD -

JK Arsenal 2

Rae Spordikool 4

FC Tallinn -

TBD -

Zealot Sporting -

Johvi Phoenix -

TBD -

Kose II -

TBD -

Kalju -

Viimsi JK -

TBD -

TalTech JK -

Tamper -

TBD -

Rumori Calcio -

Kose -

TBD -

Kuressaare -

TBD -

Paide Linnameeskond -

Flora U19 -

TBD -

Vastseliina Tannem -

Tammeka Tartu -

TBD -

Tabasalu -

Tartu Kalev 1

Elva 2

TBD -

Legion -

Viimsi Lovid -

TBD -

Tallinna Smsraha -

Tallinna Kalev III -

TBD -

EstHam United -

Hiiumaa -

TBD -

Tallinna Kalev -

Tallinna FC Zapoos -

TBD -

FC Hell Hunt 2

FC Lootos Polva 0

Raplamaa 1

Saku Sporting 5

Marjamaa Kompanii 4

Kubik 0

Parnu JK Vaprus -

TBD -

Olympic Tallinn 0

Tulevik 6

Jarva-Jaani -

TBD -

Keila JK 5

Kallaste United 2

Maardu Aliens -

TBD -

JK Poseidon -

Tallinna Kalev U21 6

Vana Hea Puur 0

Laanemaa Haapsalu 2

Kohtla-Jarve Linnameeskond 1

Tartu JK Welco 16

Kuusalu Kalev 0

TBD -

Tartu Helios -

Arukula Vigri -

TBD -

Kristiine -

1/32-finals

Flora -

TBD -

Kohvile 0

Helm 4

Levadia -

TBD -

Flora U18 1

Flora Tallinn U21 12

Tabasalu Ulasabat 13

Eston Villa 0

Harju JK Laagri 26

TransferWise 0

Tallinna Wolves 3

Raasiku Joker 4

Nomme Utd 5

Harju JK Laagri III 1

Saue JK Laagri 6

Maksatransport 1

Tartu JK Welco 2 0

Narva 8

Lootus JK Jarve 1

Rae Spordikool 10

FC Tallinn 7

Zealot Sporting 1

Johvi Phoenix -

Kose II -

TBD -

Kalju -

Viimsi JK 7

TalTech JK 1

Tamper 4

Rumori Calcio 2

Kose 0

Kuressaare 7

TBD -

Paide Linnameeskond -

Flora U19 -

Vastseliina Tannem -

Tammeka Tartu 6

Tabasalu 0

Elva 3

Legion 0

Viimsi Lovid 0

Tallinna Smsraha 7

Tallinna Kalev III 9

EstHam United 0

Hiiumaa 0

Tallinna Kalev 3

Tallinna FC Zapoos 7

FC Hell Hunt 0

Saku Sporting 3

Marjamaa Kompanii 2

Parnu JK Vaprus 13

Tulevik 0

Jarva-Jaani 1

Keila JK 4

Maardu Aliens 1

JK Poseidon 4

Tallinna Kalev U21 2

Laanemaa Haapsalu 0

Tartu JK Welco 3

Tartu Helios 0

Arukula Vigri 0

Kristiine 4

1/16-finals

Flora 14

Helm 0

Levadia 4

Flora Tallinn U21 0

Tabasalu Ulasabat 0

Harju JK Laagri 3

Raasiku Joker 1

Nomme Utd 4

Saue JK Laagri 0

Narva 4

Rae Spordikool 0

FC Tallinn 9

Johvi Phoenix 1

Kalju 6

Viimsi JK 4

Tamper 1

Kuressaare 1

Paide Linnameeskond 2

Flora U19 1

Tammeka Tartu 8

Elva 3

Tallinna Smsraha 2

Tallinna Kalev III 1

Tallinna Kalev 8

Tallinna FC Zapoos 3

Saku Sporting 0

Parnu JK Vaprus 9

Keila JK 0

JK Poseidon 1

Tallinna Kalev U21 0

Tartu JK Welco 8

Kristiine 0

1/8-finals

Flora 3

Levadia 1

Harju JK Laagri 0

Nomme Utd 1

Narva 6

FC Tallinn 0

Kalju 0

Viimsi JK 1

Paide Linnameeskond 3

Tammeka Tartu 0

Elva 1

Tallinna Kalev 2

Tallinna FC Zapoos 2

Parnu JK Vaprus 4

JK Poseidon 0

Tartu JK Welco 6

Quarter-finals

Flora 3

Nomme Utd 1

Narva 4

Viimsi JK 3

Paide Linnameeskond 6

Tallinna Kalev 0

Parnu JK Vaprus 2

Tartu JK Welco 1

Semi-finals

Flora 1

Narva 0

Paide Linnameeskond 2

Parnu JK Vaprus 0

Final

Flora 5

Paide Linnameeskond 1

Arukula Vigri vs Kristiine

Estonia

Arukula Vigri

Kristiine

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Arukula Vigri

Kristiine

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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