Sport Picks

Iran

Division 1 2018/2019

Arvand Khorramshahr

1 - 0

Navad Urmia

Our Tip

Match Events

53'

Ebadzadeh M.

58'

Nemati H.

Penalty Missed

88'

Abadzadeh M.

(Penalty)

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Arvand Khorramshahr in this Division 1 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arvand Khorramshahr.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%

Arvand Khorramshahr

28%

Draws

22%

Navad Urmia

Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Arvand Khorramshahr

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence

Arvand Khorramshahr have won more games recently than Navad Urmia.
50% — that's where the model lands on Arvand Khorramshahr taking it.
Regular Division 1 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 23%

Over 3.5 Goals 0%

Over 4.5 Goals 0%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 25.200000000000003%

Arvand Khorramshahr Clean Sheet 68%

Navad Urmia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Arvand Khorramshahr	Navad Urmia
Matches Played	28	31
Wins	6	4
Draws	8	10
Losses	14	17
Goals Scored	0	0.38
Goals Conceded	0	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2019 Azadegan League

Navad Urmia vs Arvand Khorramshahr

Possession: 59% - 52% Cards: 1 - 2

3:1

Nov 17, 2018 Azadegan League

Arvand Khorramshahr vs Navad Urmia

Possession: 54% - 60% Cards: 3 - 4

1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arvand Khorramshahr 59 / 100

Navad Urmia 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Arvand Khorramshahr Navad Urmia

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARV Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Navad Urmia conceded in 77% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Navad Urmia registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Arvand Khorramshahr found the back of the net in 46% of recent matches (28 games).

Scoring Trends

- VS Navad Urmia

0 Goals Scored 0.38

0 Goals Conceded 1.63

0% Over 1.5 63%

0% Over 2.5 38%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gol Gohar	30	15	13	2	47:26	58
2	Shahin Bushehr	30	14	12	4	34:17	54
3	Gol Reyhan Alborz	30	13	9	8	30:19	48
4	Aluminium Arak	30	12	12	6	27:23	48
5	Mes Kerman	30	12	11	7	38:22	47
6	Havadar SC	30	11	10	9	48:38	43
7	Baderan Tehran	30	11	10	9	35:32	43
8	Qashqai Shiraz	30	11	6	13	28:34	39
9	Fajr Sepasi	30	9	11	10	26:24	38
10	Mes Rafsanjan	30	9	9	12	40:42	36
11	Malavan	30	10	11	9	29:28	35
12	Khooneh	30	7	10	13	22:30	31
13	Navad Urmia	30	7	10	13	23:40	31
14	Shahrdari Tabriz	30	6	10	14	27:45	28
15	Arvand Khorramshahr	30	6	10	14	17:36	28
16	Shahrdari Mahshahr	30	5	10	15	19:34	25
17	Meshki Pooshan	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
18	Bargh	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
19	Naft Tehran	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
20	Machine Sazi Tabriz	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
21	Gostaresh	0	0	0	0	0:0	0
22	Esteghlal Jonoub	0	0	0	0	0:0	0