Sport Picks
Arys vs Akademiya Ontustik - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Kazakhstan
First League 
AI Match Summary
Arys host Akademiya Ontustik in the First League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Arys have averaged 1.21 scored and 2.11 conceded recently, against Akademiya Ontustik's 1.62 scored and 1.34 conceded. Past meetings favor Arys slightly — 2-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 9, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.06 - 1.38) back Akademiya Ontustik to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Akademiya Ontustik carry the better recent record into this one.
- 35% — that's where the model lands on Arys taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Arys here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arys | Akademiya Ontustik |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 7 | 16 |
| Draws | 4 | 4 |
| Losses | 17 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.62 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.11 | 1.34 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 5.33 goals per match.
Arys scored in 64% of their last 28 games.
Akademiya Ontustik let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Recent resilience: Arys stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Arys
(Home)Akademiya Ontustik
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shakhter Karagandy | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 66:8 | 65 |
| 2 | Kairat Almaty 2 | 23 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 66:12 | 56 |
| 3 | Turan | 23 | 16 | 2 | 5 | 51:21 | 50 |
| 4 | Akademiya Ontustik | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 36:29 | 43 |
| 5 | FC Astana 2 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 42:43 | 33 |
| 6 | Jaiyq | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 21:26 | 31 |
| 7 | Taraz | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 30:32 | 30 |
| 8 | Arys | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 32:45 | 27 |
| 9 | FC Ekibastuz | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | 31:53 | 26 |
| 10 | Kaspij Aktau 2 | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 29:41 | 25 |
| 11 | Khan Tengri | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 29:44 | 25 |
| 12 | Aktobe 2 | 23 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 38:69 | 23 |
| 13 | Tobol 2 | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 40:57 | 16 |
| 14 | Yelimay Semey 2 | 24 | 3 | 3 | 18 | 19:50 | 12 |
