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Arys vs Taraz

Kazakhstan Kazakhstan

First League
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Rakhimzhanov Z.
Assist: Imanali M.
90' Event
Moldakaraev Z.
Assist: Zhumabek A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this First League matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Arys
35%
Draws
40%
Taraz
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Taraz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Arys haven't matched Taraz's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Taraz here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Arys Clean Sheet 17%
Taraz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arys Taraz
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 5 14
Draws 4 5
Losses 20 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.24 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 20, 2026 First League
Arys vs Taraz
1:1
May 22, 2026 First League
Taraz vs Arys
2:1
Aug 8, 2024 First League
Taraz vs Arys
3:0
May 31, 2024 First League
Arys vs Taraz
1:2
Sep 22, 2023 First League
Taraz vs Arys
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arys Compare

Top Goalscorer Rakhimzhanov Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Taraz Compare

Top Goalscorer Moldakaraev Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arys 31 / 100
Taraz 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arys Taraz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arys found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Taraz's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Arys stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arys VS Taraz
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Arys

(Home)
20 Aug
Arys
1 : 1
Taraz
15 Aug
Khan Tengri
0 : 0
Arys
07 Aug
Arys
3 : 0
Tobol 2
31 Jul
FC Astana 2
2 : 0
Arys
24 Jul
Shakhter Karagandy
4 : 1
Arys
Page 1 of 6

Taraz

(Away)
20 Aug
Arys
1 : 1
Taraz
14 Aug
Taraz
0 : 0
Turan
07 Aug
Jaiyq
2 : 0
Taraz
30 Jul
Taraz
2 : 1
Akademiya Ontustik
24 Jul
Yelimay Semey 2
0 : 1
Taraz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shakhter Karagandy 19 17 1 1 55:7 52
2 Kairat Almaty 2 19 14 4 1 60:10 46
3 Turan 19 12 2 5 37:17 38
4 Akademiya Ontustik 19 10 3 6 31:25 33
5 Jaiyq 19 8 3 8 18:23 27
6 FC Astana 2 19 8 2 9 29:37 26
7 FC Ekibastuz 19 7 5 7 26:34 26
8 Taraz 19 7 4 8 24:24 25
9 Kaspij Aktau 2 19 7 4 8 27:31 25
10 Khan Tengri 19 6 3 10 23:35 21
11 Aktobe 2 19 5 5 9 34:60 20
12 Arys 19 4 3 12 20:39 15
13 Yelimay Semey 2 19 3 3 13 16:37 12
14 Tobol 2 19 2 4 13 31:52 10
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