Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arzachena vs Casertana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Ferrari N.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 game between Arzachena and Casertana finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Casertana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Arzachena
20%
Draws
28%
Casertana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arzachena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Casertana haven't matched Arzachena's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Arzachena a 52% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Arzachena Clean Sheet 68%
Casertana Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arzachena Casertana
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 14 13
Draws 6 10
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 1.47 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 14, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Casertana vs Arzachena
3:3
Mar 19, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Arzachena vs Casertana
0:1
Nov 13, 2022 Serie D - Group G
Casertana vs Arzachena
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arzachena Compare

Avg xG / game 0.71
Avg xA / game 0.46

Casertana Compare

Top Goalscorer Ferrari N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arzachena 95 / 100
Casertana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arzachena Casertana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arzachena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arzachena went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Arzachena scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Casertana has conceded goals in 69% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

- VS Casertana
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Arzachena

(Home)
14 May
Casertana
3 : 3
Arzachena
07 May
Arzachena
2 : 1
Ilvamaddalena
30 Apr
SS Nola 1925
1 : 2
Arzachena
23 Apr
Arzachena
3 : 0
Palmese 1914
16 Apr
Aprilia
1 : 3
Arzachena
Page 1 of 6

Casertana

(Away)
03 Oct
Cavese
2 : 0
Casertana
27 Sept
Casertana
1 : 2
Catania
19 Sept
Audace Cerignola
0 : 0
Casertana
15 Sept
Casertana
1 : 0
Altamura
12 Sept
Inter U23
2 : 3
Casertana
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sorrento 34 21 7 6 53:28 70
2 Paganese 34 19 11 4 56:29 68
3 Casertana 34 17 7 10 57:40 58
4 Arzachena 34 17 6 11 51:40 57
5 Lupa Frascati 34 13 11 10 44:29 50
6 Palmese 1914 34 13 10 11 50:44 49
7 Cassino 34 13 8 13 42:45 47
8 Real Monterotondo 34 12 9 13 51:55 45
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 7 15 51:54 43
10 Tivoli Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:39 41
11 Vis Artena 34 9 14 11 24:28 41
12 Portici 1906 34 9 13 12 45:49 40
13 Angri 34 10 9 15 39:51 39
14 Atletico Uri 34 10 9 15 45:62 39
15 Ilvamaddalena 34 8 14 12 30:39 38
16 Pomezia 34 8 11 15 40:58 35
17 SS Nola 1925 34 8 11 15 44:55 35
18 Aprilia 34 8 10 16 34:47 34
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Out)