Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Arzachena vs Real Monterotondo

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group G 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

60' Event
Lika A.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 game between Arzachena and Real Monterotondo finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arzachena.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Arzachena
15%
Draws
35%
Real Monterotondo
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arzachena

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arzachena come out ahead of Real Monterotondo on wins alone.
  • Model gives Arzachena a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Arzachena Clean Sheet 68%
Real Monterotondo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arzachena Real Monterotondo
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 14 8
Draws 6 6
Losses 10 17
Goals Scored 1.47 1.1
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2023 Serie D - Group G
Arzachena vs Real Monterotondo
1:0
Sep 24, 2022 Serie D - Group G
Real Monterotondo vs Arzachena
2:2
Mar 13, 2022 Serie D - Group G
Real Monterotondo vs Arzachena
0:1
Oct 31, 2021 Serie D - Group G
Arzachena vs Real Monterotondo
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arzachena Compare

Top Goalscorer Lika A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Real Monterotondo Compare

Avg xG / game 1.13
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arzachena 95 / 100
Real Monterotondo 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arzachena Real Monterotondo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arzachena Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Monterotondo has conceded goals in 87% of their last 31 outings.

Arzachena has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Arzachena scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 1.50 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Real Monterotondo
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arzachena

(Home)
14 May
Casertana
3 : 3
Arzachena
07 May
Arzachena
2 : 1
Ilvamaddalena
30 Apr
SS Nola 1925
1 : 2
Arzachena
23 Apr
Arzachena
3 : 0
Palmese 1914
16 Apr
Aprilia
1 : 3
Arzachena
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Real Monterotondo

(Away)
10 May
Anzio Calcio 1924
2 : 1
Real Monterotondo
03 May
Real Monterotondo
0 : 5
Valmontone
26 Apr
Atl. Lodigiani
0 : 2
Real Monterotondo
19 Apr
Real Monterotondo
2 : 1
Sarrabus Ogliastra
12 Apr
Real Monterotondo
3 : 1
Cassino
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sorrento 34 21 7 6 53:28 70
2 Paganese 34 19 11 4 56:29 68
3 Casertana 34 17 7 10 57:40 58
4 Arzachena 34 17 6 11 51:40 57
5 Lupa Frascati 34 13 11 10 44:29 50
6 Palmese 1914 34 13 10 11 50:44 49
7 Cassino 34 13 8 13 42:45 47
8 Real Monterotondo 34 12 9 13 51:55 45
9 Sarrabus Ogliastra 34 12 7 15 51:54 43
10 Tivoli Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:39 41
11 Vis Artena 34 9 14 11 24:28 41
12 Portici 1906 34 9 13 12 45:49 40
13 Angri 34 10 9 15 39:51 39
14 Atletico Uri 34 10 9 15 45:62 39
15 Ilvamaddalena 34 8 14 12 30:39 38
16 Pomezia 34 8 11 15 40:58 35
17 SS Nola 1925 34 8 11 15 44:55 35
18 Aprilia 34 8 10 16 34:47 34
Promotion - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group G 2022/2023 (Play Out)