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Arzignano vs Ambrosiana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2021/2022
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Gnago Y. G.
33' Event
Nchama V.
72' Event
Giordano M.

AI Match Summary

The Serie D - Group C 2021/2022 game between Arzignano and Ambrosiana finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arzignano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Arzignano
15%
Draws
40%
Ambrosiana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arzignano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Arzignano carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 45% — that's where the model lands on Arzignano taking it.
  • Regular Serie D - Group C 2021/2022 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Arzignano have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Arzignano Clean Sheet 68%
Ambrosiana Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arzignano Ambrosiana
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 10
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.37 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2022 Serie D - Group C
Arzignano vs Ambrosiana
2:1
Sep 19, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Ambrosiana vs Arzignano
0:3
Jun 13, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Ambrosiana vs Arzignano
3:3
Feb 7, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Arzignano vs Ambrosiana
1:0
Jan 14, 2018 Serie D - Group C
Arzignano vs Ambrosiana
6:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arzignano Compare

Top Goalscorer Gnago Y. G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nchama V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.08
Avg xA / game 2

Ambrosiana Compare

Top Goalscorer Giordano M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arzignano 95 / 100
Ambrosiana 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arzignano Ambrosiana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arzignano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arzignano scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Ambrosiana conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Arzignano went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arzignano VS Ambrosiana
1.63 Goals Scored 0
0.63 Goals Conceded 7
50% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
25% Over 3.5 100%

Recent Form & Match History

Arzignano

(Home)
03 Oct
Arzignano
2 : 2
Pergolettese
27 Sept
Carpi
0 : 3
Arzignano
20 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 1
Renate
17 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 2
Arzignano
13 Sept
Arzignano
1 : 2
Desenzano Calvina
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Ambrosiana

(Away)
26 Jul
Mantova
7 : 0
Ambrosiana
22 May
Ambrosiana
0 : 1
Delta Porto Tolle
15 May
Ambrosiana
3 : 2
Luparense FC
08 May
Levico Terme
0 : 1
Ambrosiana
01 May
Ambrosiana
5 : 3
Spinea
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Arzignano 34 21 10 3 74:32 73
2 Clodiense 34 20 12 2 53:22 72
3 Adriese 34 19 9 6 61:36 66
4 Luparense FC 34 16 10 8 60:35 58
5 Campodarsego 34 15 11 8 48:37 56
6 Caldiero Terme 34 15 6 13 58:50 51
7 Dolomiti Bellunesi 34 14 8 12 51:50 50
8 Montebelluna 34 14 7 13 57:52 49
9 Mestre 34 13 7 14 36:45 46
10 Cjarlins Muzane 34 11 12 11 51:43 45
11 Cartigliano 34 11 12 11 44:40 45
12 Este 34 10 13 11 31:42 43
13 Levico Terme 34 11 9 14 31:40 42
14 Ambrosiana 34 11 7 16 45:52 40
15 Delta Porto Tolle 34 10 6 18 43:51 36
16 Spinea 34 6 7 21 27:58 25
17 Cattolica Calcio 34 6 5 23 20:61 23
18 San Martino Speme 34 5 5 24 29:73 20
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2021/2022 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group C 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group C 2021/2022 (Play Out)