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Arzignano vs Carpi

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Stanzani L.
57' Event
Gerbi E.

AI Match Summary

Carpi in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Carpi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Arzignano
20%
Draws
28%
Carpi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arzignano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arzignano lately — more wins on the board than Carpi.
  • Win probability leans Arzignano's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Carpi have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Arzignano Clean Sheet 68%
Carpi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arzignano Carpi
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 13 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 14
Goals Scored 1.31 0.89
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 10, 2025 Club Friendly
Arzignano vs Carpi
0:2
Mar 25, 2020 Serie C - Group B
Carpi vs Arzignano
0:0
Nov 10, 2019 Serie C - Group B
Arzignano vs Carpi
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arzignano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Carpi Compare

Top Goalscorer Stanzani L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gerbi E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arzignano 86 / 100
Carpi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arzignano Carpi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carpi has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Recent resilience: Arzignano stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Arzignano scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Difficult form: Carpi registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arzignano VS Carpi
1.63 Goals Scored 1
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arzignano

(Home)
03 May
Cittadella
2 : 2
Arzignano
25 Apr
Arzignano
3 : 0
Pro Vercelli
19 Apr
Pro Patria
2 : 3
Arzignano
12 Apr
Inter U23
0 : 1
Arzignano
03 Apr
Arzignano
0 : 0
Renate
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Carpi

(Away)
09 Aug
Mantova
0 : 1
Carpi
01 Aug
Carpi
1 : 2
Pistoiese
25 Jul
Cesena
1 : 0
Carpi
26 Apr
Guidonia 1937
2 : 3
Carpi
18 Apr
Carpi
0 : 1
Forli FC
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