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Arzignano vs Carpi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Stanzani L.
57' Event
Gerbi E.

AI Match Summary

Carpi in this Club Friendly 2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Carpi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Arzignano
30%
Draws
12%
Carpi
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arzignano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arzignano lately — more wins on the board than Carpi.
  • Win probability leans Arzignano's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Arzignano Clean Sheet 68%
Carpi Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arzignano Carpi
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 7
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.34 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Carpi vs Arzignano
0:3
Aug 10, 2025 Club Friendly
Arzignano vs Carpi
0:2
Mar 25, 2020 Serie C - Group B
Carpi vs Arzignano
0:0
Nov 10, 2019 Serie C - Group B
Arzignano vs Carpi
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arzignano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Carpi Compare

Top Goalscorer Stanzani L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gerbi E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arzignano 95 / 100
Carpi 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arzignano Carpi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arzignano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Carpi let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Attacking prowess: Arzignano scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Arzignano went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arzignano VS Carpi
1.5 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Arzignano

(Home)
03 Oct
Arzignano
2 : 2
Pergolettese
27 Sept
Carpi
0 : 3
Arzignano
20 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 1
Renate
17 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 2
Arzignano
13 Sept
Arzignano
1 : 2
Desenzano Calvina
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Carpi

(Away)
03 Oct
Pro Vercelli
2 : 0
Carpi
27 Sept
Carpi
0 : 3
Arzignano
20 Sept
Novara
2 : 2
Carpi
17 Sept
Carpi
2 : 2
Ospitaletto
13 Sept
Carpi
1 : 2
Cittadella
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