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Arzignano vs Cittadella

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Tommaso Dal Molin, Arzignano
Our Tip

Match Events

18'
Vita A.
21' Event
Lanzi E.
29'
Zilio A.

AI Match Summary

Arzignano in this Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arzignano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Arzignano
35%
Draws
27%
Cittadella
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Arzignano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Cittadella have won more games recently than Arzignano.
  • 38% — that's where the model lands on Arzignano taking it.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 66%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Arzignano Clean Sheet 68%
Cittadella Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arzignano Cittadella
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 13 14
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.31
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 0.98
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 3, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Arzignano
2:2
Mar 22, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Arzignano vs Cittadella
1:0
Nov 15, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Cittadella vs Arzignano
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arzignano Compare

Top Goalscorer Lanzi E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.77

Cittadella Compare

Avg xG / game 0.89
Avg xA / game 0.54

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arzignano 77 / 100
Cittadella 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arzignano Cittadella

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ARZ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arzignano went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Arzignano found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Cittadella's defensive record shows goals conceded in 75% of 32 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Arzignano VS Cittadella
1.57 Goals Scored 1.25
0.71 Goals Conceded 1.5
57% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Arzignano

(Home)
03 May
Cittadella
2 : 2
Arzignano
25 Apr
Arzignano
3 : 0
Pro Vercelli
19 Apr
Pro Patria
2 : 3
Arzignano
12 Apr
Inter U23
0 : 1
Arzignano
03 Apr
Arzignano
0 : 0
Renate
Page 1 of 6

Cittadella

(Away)
08 Aug
Cittadella
1 : 0
Luparense FC
01 Aug
Cittadella
0 : 2
Padova
29 Jul
Cremonese
1 : 1
Cittadella
25 Jul
Torino
0 : 1
Cittadella
13 May
Ravenna
1 : 1
Cittadella
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 38 27 8 3 69:26 89
2 Union Brescia 38 19 12 7 49:24 69
3 Renate 38 17 13 8 53:37 64
4 Lecco 38 18 10 10 47:34 64
5 Trento 38 16 15 7 58:42 63
6 Cittadella 38 17 8 13 45:43 59
7 Lumezzane 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
8 Alcione Milano 38 15 10 13 35:28 55
9 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 50:48 53
10 Giana Erminio 38 14 10 14 38:39 52
11 AlbinoLeffe 38 13 11 14 51:49 50
12 Inter U23 38 12 12 14 40:41 48
13 Novara 38 9 20 9 40:39 47
14 Pro Vercelli 38 13 7 18 39:55 46
15 Ospitaletto 38 10 15 13 41:43 45
16 Pergolettese 38 10 11 17 37:50 41
17 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 10 10 18 38:61 40
18 Virtus Verona 38 3 16 19 34:62 25
19 Pro Patria 38 4 11 23 34:70 23
20 Triestina 38 9 9 20 45:59 12
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)