Sport Picks
Arzignano vs Desenzano Calvina - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie C - Group A Tommaso Dal Molin, Arzignano 
Match Events
46'
46'
Milillo A.
59'
59'
Sub
Gatti C. In: Moretti M.
Out: Gatti C.
59'
59'
Sub
Mattioli A. In: Penta M.
Out: Mattioli A.
AI Match Summary
Desenzano Calvina in this Serie C - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Desenzano Calvina.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
39%
30%
31%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Arzignano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
39%
/ Low Confidence
- Desenzano Calvina have won more games recently than Arzignano.
- Arzignano are the model's pick here, at 60%.
- Regular Serie C - Group A form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Arzignano Clean Sheet 68%
Desenzano Calvina Clean Sheet 13%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arzignano | Desenzano Calvina |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 10 |
| Losses | 10 | 4 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 0.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 13, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Arzignano vs Desenzano Calvina
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arzignano Compare
Top Goalscorer Romio J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Desenzano Calvina Compare
Top Goalscorer Millico V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ubaldi L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arzignano 68 / 100
Desenzano Calvina 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arzignano Desenzano Calvina
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Arzignano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arzignano's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Arzignano has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: Desenzano Calvina conceded in 52% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
Arzignano VS Desenzano Calvina
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Arzignano
(Home) 03 Oct
Arzignano
2 : 2 Pergolettese
27 Sept
Carpi
0 : 3 Arzignano
20 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 1 Renate
17 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 2 Arzignano
13 Sept
Arzignano
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Arzignano
2 : 2 Pergolettese
20 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 1 Renate
13 Sept
Arzignano
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
02 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 3 Dolomiti Bellunesi
30 Aug
Arzignano
1 : 0 Pro Vercelli
Page 1 of 3
Desenzano Calvina
(Away) 03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
26 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
0 : 0 Juventus U23
21 Sept
Treviso
0 : 0 Desenzano Calvina
17 Sept
Desenzano Calvina
1 : 3 Lecco
13 Sept
Arzignano
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Folgore Caratese
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
21 Sept
Treviso
0 : 0 Desenzano Calvina
13 Sept
Arzignano
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
06 Sept
Union Brescia
1 : 0 Desenzano Calvina
03 Sept
Trento
0 : 1 Desenzano Calvina
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 21 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 14:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Ospitaletto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | 15 |
| 4 | Arzignano | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 5 | Trento | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 6 | Treviso | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:6 | 13 |
| 7 | AlbinoLeffe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:13 | 11 |
| 9 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 10 | Desenzano Calvina | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 11 | Novara | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 12 | Pro Vercelli | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | 9 |
| 13 | Lecco | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | 9 |
| 14 | Lumezzane | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 15 | Pergolettese | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3:5 | 8 |
| 16 | Carpi | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:17 | 6 |
| 17 | Folgore Caratese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | 6 |
| 18 | Juventus U23 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:13 | 6 |
| 19 | Giana Erminio | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6:10 | 4 |
| 20 | Renate | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)
