Sport Picks
Arzignano vs Pergolettese - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Italy
Serie C - Group A Tommaso Dal Molin, Arzignano 
Match Events
9'
9'
Penta M.
14'
14'
Bernardi E.
17'
17'
Ferrandino D.
Penalty Missed
AI Match Summary
The Serie C - Group A game between Arzignano and Pergolettese finished 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
38%
35%
27%
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Arzignano
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
38%
/ Low Confidence
- Arzignano carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Arzignano's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Arzignano Clean Sheet 68%
Pergolettese Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Arzignano | Pergolettese |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 14 | 9 |
| Draws | 5 | 11 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 0.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Oct 3, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Arzignano vs Pergolettese
2:2
Mar 14, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Arzignano
0:1
Nov 8, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Arzignano vs Pergolettese
1:0
Mar 23, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Pergolettese vs Arzignano
0:2
Nov 9, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Arzignano vs Pergolettese
1:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Arzignano Compare
Top Goalscorer Penta M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mattioli A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Pergolettese Compare
Top Goalscorer Jaouhari Z.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Arzignano 59 / 100
Pergolettese 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Arzignano Pergolettese
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Arzignano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Arzignano scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Pergolettese's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Arzignano remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Arzignano VS Pergolettese
1.38 Goals Scored 0.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 25%
75% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Arzignano
(Home) 03 Oct
Arzignano
2 : 2 Pergolettese
27 Sept
Carpi
0 : 3 Arzignano
20 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 1 Renate
17 Sept
AlbinoLeffe
1 : 2 Arzignano
13 Sept
Arzignano
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Arzignano
2 : 2 Pergolettese
20 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 1 Renate
13 Sept
Arzignano
1 : 2 Desenzano Calvina
02 Sept
Arzignano
2 : 3 Dolomiti Bellunesi
30 Aug
Arzignano
1 : 0 Pro Vercelli
Page 1 of 3
Pergolettese
(Away) 03 Oct
Arzignano
2 : 2 Pergolettese
26 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Trento
20 Sept
Lecco
0 : 0 Pergolettese
17 Sept
Pergolettese
0 : 0 Folgore Caratese
13 Sept
Novara
0 : 1 Pergolettese
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Arzignano
2 : 2 Pergolettese
20 Sept
Lecco
0 : 0 Pergolettese
13 Sept
Novara
0 : 1 Pergolettese
06 Sept
Juventus U23
0 : 0 Pergolettese
22 Aug
Cittadella
2 : 0 Pergolettese
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cittadella | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 21 |
| 2 | Union Brescia | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 14:6 | 16 |
| 3 | Ospitaletto | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:6 | 15 |
| 4 | Arzignano | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 14 |
| 5 | Trento | 8 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 11:5 | 14 |
| 6 | Treviso | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:6 | 13 |
| 7 | AlbinoLeffe | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 12 |
| 8 | Alcione Milano | 8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 12:13 | 11 |
| 9 | Dolomiti Bellunesi | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 7:7 | 10 |
| 10 | Desenzano Calvina | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 6:7 | 10 |
| 11 | Novara | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 12 | Pro Vercelli | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | 9 |
| 13 | Lecco | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | 9 |
| 14 | Lumezzane | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:9 | 8 |
| 15 | Pergolettese | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 3:5 | 8 |
| 16 | Carpi | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:17 | 6 |
| 17 | Folgore Caratese | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9:12 | 6 |
| 18 | Juventus U23 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:13 | 6 |
| 19 | Giana Erminio | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 6:10 | 4 |
| 20 | Renate | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 6:12 | 3 |
Promotion - Serie B 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie C - Group A (Play Out)
