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Arzignano vs Pro Vercelli

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Tommaso Dal Molin, Arzignano
Our Tip

Match Events

24'
Castegnaro L.
34'
Bianchi N.
46'
Sub
Coccolo L. In: Marchetti S.
Out: Coccolo L.

AI Match Summary

Arzignano in this Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arzignano.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Arzignano
15%
Draws
35%
Pro Vercelli
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arzignano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Arzignano lately — more wins on the board than Pro Vercelli.
  • Arzignano are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Arzignano have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Arzignano Clean Sheet 68%
Pro Vercelli Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arzignano Pro Vercelli
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 5 6
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.34 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Arzignano vs Pro Vercelli
3:0
Dec 21, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Pro Vercelli vs Arzignano
0:5
Mar 9, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Arzignano vs Pro Vercelli
3:1
Oct 25, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Pro Vercelli vs Arzignano
0:3
Apr 20, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Pro Vercelli vs Arzignano
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arzignano Compare

Top Goalscorer Nanni N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Mattioli A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Pro Vercelli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arzignano 95 / 100
Pro Vercelli 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arzignano Pro Vercelli

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arzignano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Arzignano went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Arzignano found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Pro Vercelli conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Arzignano VS Pro Vercelli
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arzignano

(Home)
15 Aug
Arzignano
2 : 1
AlbinoLeffe
03 May
Cittadella
2 : 2
Arzignano
25 Apr
Arzignano
3 : 0
Pro Vercelli
19 Apr
Pro Patria
2 : 3
Arzignano
12 Apr
Inter U23
0 : 1
Arzignano
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Pro Vercelli

(Away)
14 Aug
Pro Vercelli
2 : 1
Pergolettese
26 Jul
Pisa
0 : 1
Pro Vercelli
18 Jul
Monza
4 : 3
Pro Vercelli
25 Apr
Arzignano
3 : 0
Pro Vercelli
19 Apr
Pro Vercelli
1 : 0
Ospitaletto
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 38 27 8 3 69:26 89
2 Union Brescia 38 19 12 7 49:24 69
3 Renate 38 17 13 8 53:37 64
4 Lecco 38 18 10 10 47:34 64
5 Trento 38 16 15 7 58:42 63
6 Cittadella 38 17 8 13 45:43 59
7 Lumezzane 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
8 Alcione Milano 38 15 10 13 35:28 55
9 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 50:48 53
10 Giana Erminio 38 14 10 14 38:39 52
11 AlbinoLeffe 38 13 11 14 51:49 50
12 Inter U23 38 12 12 14 40:41 48
13 Novara 38 9 20 9 40:39 47
14 Pro Vercelli 38 13 7 18 39:55 46
15 Ospitaletto 38 10 15 13 41:43 45
16 Pergolettese 38 10 11 17 37:50 41
17 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 10 10 18 38:61 40
18 Virtus Verona 38 3 16 19 34:62 25
19 Pro Patria 38 4 11 23 34:70 23
20 Triestina 38 9 9 20 45:59 12
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)