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Arzignano vs San Giorgio-Sedico

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group C 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arzignano play San Giorgio-Sedico in the Serie D - Group C 2020/2021. Arzignano are favorites here. Recently, Arzignano averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.09 conceded. San Giorgio-Sedico averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. In past meetings, Arzignano won 2, San Giorgio-Sedico won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 14, 2021 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Arzignano and 1.00 for San Giorgio-Sedico. This points to a Arzignano double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Arzignano
25%
Draws
15%
San Giorgio-Sedico
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Arzignano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Arzignano picked up more points recently compared to San Giorgio-Sedico.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 61%
Over 2.5 Goals 48%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
Arzignano Clean Sheet 23%
San Giorgio-Sedico Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 55%
Second Half Goal 58%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arzignano San Giorgio-Sedico
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 16 12
Draws 5 8
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.09 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 14, 2021 Serie D - Group C
Arzignano vs San Giorgio-Sedico
2:0
Dec 20, 2020 Serie D - Group C
San Giorgio-Sedico vs Arzignano
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arzignano Compare

Top Goalscorer Cali V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

San Giorgio-Sedico Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arzignano 59 / 100
San Giorgio-Sedico 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arzignano San Giorgio-Sedico

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arzignano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Arzignano & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.38
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Arzignano attacking → ← attacking San Giorgio-Sedico

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arzignano scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

San Giorgio-Sedico let in goals in 60% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Arzignano went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

San Giorgio-Sedico lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

53 Points in last 5 44
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Trento382312365:3581
2Arzignano381910952:3467
3Manzanese381991064:4466
4Clodiense3817111051:4162
5Caldiero Terme381516756:3661
6Mestre381861458:4960
7Delta Porto Tolle381771451:3858
8Luparense FC381591452:4854
9AC Belluno381217943:4553
10Cjarlins Muzane3813131260:6052
11Cartigliano3813131242:4552
12San Giorgio-Sedico3813101548:4849
13Adriese3813101555:6449
14Ambrosiana3811141357:6447
15Este389161345:5343
16Campodarsego3810101841:4840
17Union Feltre381091941:5939
18Virtus Bolzano381082046:5238
19Montebelluna381082041:6738
20Chions383122330:6821