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Arzignano vs Trento

Italy Italy

Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 Tommaso Dal Molin, Arzignano
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Sub
Chiarello R. In: Bianchi N.
Out: Chiarello R.
45'
Benedetti G.
46'
Sub
Candelari P. In: Aucelli C.
Out: Candelari P.

AI Match Summary

Trento in this Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Trento.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

44%
Arzignano
20%
Draws
36%
Trento
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Arzignano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

44% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Trento lately — more wins on the board than Arzignano.
  • 44% — that's where the model lands on Arzignano taking it.
  • Regular Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Arzignano Clean Sheet 68%
Trento Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arzignano Trento
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 5 7
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.32 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 11, 2026 Serie C - Group A
Arzignano vs Trento
0:2
Sep 28, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Trento vs Arzignano
2:2
Jan 19, 2025 Serie C - Group A
Arzignano vs Trento
1:2
Sep 15, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Trento vs Arzignano
3:2
Mar 17, 2024 Serie C - Group A
Arzignano vs Trento
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arzignano Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Trento Compare

Top Goalscorer Ebone T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Capone C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arzignano 68 / 100
Trento 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arzignano Trento

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arzignano Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Arzignano went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Arzignano scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Trento conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Arzignano VS Trento
1.5 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arzignano

(Home)
03 May
Cittadella
2 : 2
Arzignano
25 Apr
Arzignano
3 : 0
Pro Vercelli
19 Apr
Pro Patria
2 : 3
Arzignano
12 Apr
Inter U23
0 : 1
Arzignano
03 Apr
Arzignano
0 : 0
Renate
Page 1 of 6

Trento

(Away)
14 Aug
Trento
2 : 1
Ospitaletto
01 Aug
Trento
0 : 1
Modena
25 Jul
Trento
2 : 0
Sassuolo
25 Jul
Trento
2 : 1
Parma
19 Jul
Genoa
2 : 1
Trento
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vicenza 38 27 8 3 69:26 89
2 Union Brescia 38 19 12 7 49:24 69
3 Renate 38 17 13 8 53:37 64
4 Lecco 38 18 10 10 47:34 64
5 Trento 38 16 15 7 58:42 63
6 Cittadella 38 17 8 13 45:43 59
7 Lumezzane 38 14 14 10 46:39 56
8 Alcione Milano 38 15 10 13 35:28 55
9 Arzignano 38 15 8 15 50:48 53
10 Giana Erminio 38 14 10 14 38:39 52
11 AlbinoLeffe 38 13 11 14 51:49 50
12 Inter U23 38 12 12 14 40:41 48
13 Novara 38 9 20 9 40:39 47
14 Pro Vercelli 38 13 7 18 39:55 46
15 Ospitaletto 38 10 15 13 41:43 45
16 Pergolettese 38 10 11 17 37:50 41
17 Dolomiti Bellunesi 38 10 10 18 38:61 40
18 Virtus Verona 38 3 16 19 34:62 25
19 Pro Patria 38 4 11 23 34:70 23
20 Triestina 38 9 9 20 45:59 12
Promotion - Serie B (Main)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Serie C - Group A 2025/2026 (Play Offs)