Sport Picks

Stadium Background

CA Estudiantes vs Chacarita Juniors

Argentina Argentina

Primera Nacional Estadio Ciudad de Caseros, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Chaves N.
42'
Vittor S.
47'
Melo R.

AI Match Summary

CA Estudiantes in this Primera Nacional matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored CA Estudiantes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
CA Estudiantes
30%
Draws
31%
Chacarita Juniors
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CA Estudiantes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • CA Estudiantes have won more games recently than Chacarita Juniors.
  • CA Estudiantes are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 23.200000000000003%
CA Estudiantes Clean Sheet 68%
Chacarita Juniors Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric CA Estudiantes Chacarita Juniors
Matches Played 34 28
Wins 14 7
Draws 10 6
Losses 10 15
Goals Scored 0.85 0.71
Goals Conceded 0.71 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Primera Nacional
CA Estudiantes vs Chacarita Juniors
2:0
Mar 29, 2026 Primera Nacional
Chacarita Juniors vs CA Estudiantes
0:3
Aug 3, 2025 Primera Nacional
Chacarita Juniors vs CA Estudiantes
0:3
Mar 29, 2025 Primera Nacional
CA Estudiantes vs Chacarita Juniors
0:2
Jul 27, 2024 Primera Nacional
Chacarita Juniors vs CA Estudiantes
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

CA Estudiantes Compare

Top Goalscorer Ardiles F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Chacarita Juniors Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

CA Estudiantes 59 / 100
Chacarita Juniors 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
CA Estudiantes Chacarita Juniors

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CA Estudiantes Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CA Estudiantes's goal record stands at 62% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Defensive concern: Chacarita Juniors conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

CA Estudiantes has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

CA Estudiantes VS Chacarita Juniors
1.25 Goals Scored 0.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

CA Estudiantes

(Home)
15 Aug
CA Estudiantes
2 : 0
Chacarita Juniors
08 Aug
CA Estudiantes
0 : 1
Deportivo Madryn
01 Aug
Defensores de Belgrano
1 : 1
CA Estudiantes
25 Jul
CA Estudiantes
1 : 2
Ciudad Bolivar
17 Jul
Almirante Brown
0 : 0
CA Estudiantes
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Chacarita Juniors

(Away)
15 Aug
CA Estudiantes
2 : 0
Chacarita Juniors
08 Aug
Atl. Rafaela
1 : 0
Chacarita Juniors
02 Aug
Chacarita Juniors
2 : 1
Agropecuario
25 Jul
Tristan Suarez
1 : 0
Chacarita Juniors
12 Jul
Gimnasia Jujuy
1 : 1
Chacarita Juniors
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ferro 25 15 4 6 31:23 49
2 Deportivo Moron 24 13 5 6 39:22 44
3 Colon Santa Fe 25 11 9 5 32:19 42
4 Almirante Brown 24 10 8 6 19:13 38
5 Godoy Cruz 24 10 7 7 28:22 37
6 Deportivo Madryn 23 9 9 5 30:22 36
7 CA Estudiantes 25 9 8 8 22:20 35
8 Ciudad Bolivar 25 8 10 7 21:22 34
9 Los Andes 23 8 9 6 20:11 33
10 Racing Cordoba 24 8 6 10 23:28 30
11 CA Mitre 25 6 11 8 25:29 29
12 San Miguel 24 6 11 7 19:23 29
13 Defensores de Belgrano 24 5 11 8 16:21 26
14 All Boys 24 4 12 8 14:23 24
15 San Telmo 24 5 8 11 18:27 23
16 Central Norte 23 5 8 10 15:24 23
17 Chaco For Ever 23 5 7 11 21:28 22
18 Acassuso 24 5 7 12 18:29 22
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tristan Suarez 23 11 9 3 23:12 42
2 Gimnasia Jujuy 24 12 5 7 35:29 41
3 Atletico Atlanta 24 12 3 9 30:25 39
4 Midland 24 10 8 6 26:17 38
5 Gimnasia y Tiro 24 10 7 7 26:22 37
6 Temperley 24 9 10 5 24:21 37
7 Deportivo Maipu 25 10 5 10 33:27 35
8 Atl. Rafaela 25 9 8 8 18:19 35
9 Quilmes 25 8 8 9 27:21 32
10 San Martin T. 24 7 10 7 22:20 31
11 Colegiales 24 8 6 10 23:25 30
12 Almagro 25 8 6 11 21:29 30
13 Nueva Chicago 23 7 8 8 20:22 29
14 Agropecuario 25 7 8 10 22:28 29
15 San Martin S.J. 22 7 7 8 23:23 28
16 Chacarita Juniors 24 7 5 12 18:26 26
17 Patronato 24 4 12 8 18:26 24
18 Club Atletico Guemes 24 5 5 14 21:43 20
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)