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Arzua vs Atios

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arzua in this Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arzua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Arzua
15%
Draws
42%
Atios
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arzua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Atios average 0.87 goals a game right now, well clear of Arzua's 0.81.
  • Win probability leans Arzua's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Arzua Clean Sheet 18%
Atios Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arzua Atios
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 5 5
Draws 5 9
Losses 22 16
Goals Scored 0.81 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.81 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arzua vs Atios
4:0
Apr 11, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Atios vs Arzua
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arzua 49 / 100
Atios 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arzua Atios

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arzua Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atios has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.50 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Atios has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Arzua scored in 53% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Arzua VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arzua

(Home)
26 Aug
Estradense
2 : 0
Arzua
11 May
Arzua
1 : 0
Silva SD
05 May
Estradense
2 : 0
Arzua
01 May
Arzua
1 : 2
Lugo B
27 Apr
Barbadas-Bentraces
2 : 0
Arzua
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Atios

(Away)
20 Jun
Agrupacion Estudiantil
3 : 1
Atios
13 Jun
Atios
0 : 4
CD AS Pontes
06 Jun
Fisterra
0 : 2
Atios
30 May
Atios
0 : 1
Paiosaco
23 May
Arzua
4 : 0
Atios
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