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Arzua vs Barbadas-Bentraces

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Sun, Aug 20, 2023
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arzua host Barbadas-Bentraces in the Club Friendly 2023. Arzua go into this one as the clear favorite. Arzua have averaged 0.73 scored and 1.9 conceded recently, against Barbadas-Bentraces's 0.68 scored and 1.76 conceded. Head-to-head, Arzua have won 1 to Barbadas-Bentraces's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 27, 2024, ending 2:0. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Arzua. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Arzua
15%
Draws
42%
Barbadas-Bentraces
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arzua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Barbadas-Bentraces lately — more wins on the board than Arzua.
  • Model gives Arzua a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Arzua Clean Sheet 20%
Barbadas-Bentraces Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arzua Barbadas-Bentraces
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 4 6
Draws 5 8
Losses 21 24
Goals Scored 0.73 0.68
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Barbadas-Bentraces vs Arzua
2:0
Dec 17, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arzua vs Barbadas-Bentraces
2:0
Aug 20, 2023 Club Friendly
Arzua vs Barbadas-Bentraces
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arzua 67 / 100
Barbadas-Bentraces 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arzua Barbadas-Bentraces

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arzua Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Barbadas-Bentraces's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 38 matches.

Away concern: Barbadas-Bentraces has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Arzua's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.33 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Arzua VS Barbadas-Bentraces
0 Goals Scored 0.5
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Arzua

(Home)
26 Aug
Estradense
2 : 0
Arzua
11 May
Arzua
1 : 0
Silva SD
05 May
Estradense
2 : 0
Arzua
01 May
Arzua
1 : 2
Lugo B
27 Apr
Barbadas-Bentraces
2 : 0
Arzua
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Barbadas-Bentraces

(Away)
10 May
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 2
Alondras
03 May
Lugo B
5 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
26 Apr
Barbadas-Bentraces
0 : 4
Gran Pena
19 Apr
Silva SD
3 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
12 Apr
Barbadas-Bentraces
3 : 2
Celtiga
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