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Arzua vs Lugo B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Arzua in this Club Friendly 2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arzua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Arzua
20%
Draws
58%
Lugo B
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Lugo B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Arzua haven't matched Lugo B's recent run of results.
  • Lugo B are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Arzua Clean Sheet 16%
Lugo B Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arzua Lugo B
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 4 12
Draws 5 10
Losses 21 10
Goals Scored 0.73 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arzua vs Lugo B
1:2
Jan 7, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo B vs Arzua
2:0
Aug 19, 2023 Club Friendly
Arzua vs Lugo B
1:0
Mar 12, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arzua vs Lugo B
1:1
Nov 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Lugo B vs Arzua
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arzua 10 / 100
Lugo B 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arzua Lugo B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lugo B Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Lugo B conceded in 69% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Arzua's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Arzua stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arzua VS Lugo B
0 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arzua

(Home)
26 Aug
Estradense
2 : 0
Arzua
11 May
Arzua
1 : 0
Silva SD
05 May
Estradense
2 : 0
Arzua
01 May
Arzua
1 : 2
Lugo B
27 Apr
Barbadas-Bentraces
2 : 0
Arzua
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Lugo B

(Away)
10 May
Racing Club Villalbes
2 : 1
Lugo B
03 May
Lugo B
5 : 1
Barbadas-Bentraces
26 Apr
Alondras
0 : 4
Lugo B
19 Apr
Viveiro
0 : 0
Lugo B
11 Apr
Lugo B
0 : 0
Gran Pena
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