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Arzua vs Pontellas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 game between Arzua and Pontellas finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Arzua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Arzua
20%
Draws
50%
Pontellas
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pontellas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Arzua come out ahead of Pontellas on wins alone.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Pontellas taking it.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 1 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Arzua Clean Sheet 18%
Pontellas Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arzua Pontellas
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 7 6
Losses 22 20
Goals Scored 1.05 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.79 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Pontellas vs Arzua
0:1
Apr 4, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arzua vs Pontellas
1:0
Mar 8, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Pontellas vs Arzua
2:2
Oct 12, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arzua vs Pontellas
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arzua 28 / 100
Pontellas 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arzua Pontellas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pontellas Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pontellas let in goals in 90% of their last 30 matches.

Arzua found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (39 games).

Games between these two average 2.75 goals.

Arzua went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Arzua VS -
0.38 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Arzua

(Home)
26 Aug
Estradense
2 : 0
Arzua
11 May
Arzua
1 : 0
Silva SD
05 May
Estradense
2 : 0
Arzua
01 May
Arzua
1 : 2
Lugo B
27 Apr
Barbadas-Bentraces
2 : 0
Arzua
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Pontellas

(Away)
19 Jun
Viveiro
1 : 1
Pontellas
13 Jun
Pontellas
1 : 2
Agrupacion Estudiantil
06 Jun
CD AS Pontes
1 : 1
Pontellas
30 May
Pontellas
2 : 1
Fisterra
23 May
Paiosaco
2 : 1
Pontellas
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