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Arzua vs Viveiro

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Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Hurtado I.
(Penalty)
45' Event
Scarpari M.
69' Event
Morais M.

AI Match Summary

Arzua in this Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Arzua.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Arzua
15%
Draws
42%
Viveiro
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Arzua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Viveiro have won more games recently than Arzua.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Arzua Clean Sheet 17%
Viveiro Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Arzua Viveiro
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 4 8
Draws 5 9
Losses 21 14
Goals Scored 0.73 0.81
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arzua vs Viveiro
2:1
Nov 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Viveiro vs Arzua
2:0
Mar 19, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Arzua vs Viveiro
0:0
Nov 27, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Viveiro vs Arzua
2:0
Mar 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 1
Viveiro vs Arzua
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Arzua Compare

Top Goalscorer Scarpari M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Viveiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Morais M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Arzua 31 / 100
Viveiro 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Arzua Viveiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Viveiro conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Viveiro lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Arzua found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

Arzua VS Viveiro
0 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Arzua

(Home)
26 Aug
Estradense
2 : 0
Arzua
11 May
Arzua
1 : 0
Silva SD
05 May
Estradense
2 : 0
Arzua
01 May
Arzua
1 : 2
Lugo B
27 Apr
Barbadas-Bentraces
2 : 0
Arzua
Page 1 of 6

Viveiro

(Away)
13 Sept
Sarriana
2 : 0
Viveiro
06 Sept
Viveiro
0 : 1
Antela
10 May
Viveiro
0 : 1
Compostela
03 May
Alondras
1 : 2
Viveiro
25 Apr
Estradense
2 : 0
Viveiro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bergantinos 34 21 10 3 49:19 73
2 Gran Pena 34 15 16 3 48:30 61
3 Arosa SC 34 15 13 6 39:23 58
4 UD Ourense 34 15 10 9 47:34 55
5 Sarriana 34 14 8 12 43:35 50
6 Atletico Arteixo 34 11 14 9 46:39 47
7 Somozas 34 12 9 13 43:39 45
8 Estradense 34 11 12 11 31:32 45
9 Barbadas-Bentraces 34 10 14 10 33:34 44
10 Viveiro 34 12 8 14 39:42 44
11 Alondras 34 10 14 10 37:36 44
12 Silva SD 34 11 10 13 35:35 43
13 Lugo B 34 11 10 13 32:34 43
14 Betanzos CF 34 10 13 11 35:31 43
15 Rapido de Bouzas 34 11 9 14 38:40 42
16 Paiosaco 34 10 11 13 30:42 41
17 Pontevedra B 34 7 5 22 27:65 26
18 Arzua 34 4 6 24 24:66 18
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 1 2023/2024 (Play Offs)