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AS Agareb vs Bousalem

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
AS Agareb
35%
Draws
32%
Bousalem
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AS Agareb lately — more wins on the board than Bousalem.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on AS Agareb taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
AS Agareb Clean Sheet 20%
Bousalem Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Agareb Bousalem
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 7
Draws 7 7
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 1.03 0.72
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 Ligue 2
Bousalem vs AS Agareb
1:1
Nov 29, 2025 Ligue 2
AS Agareb vs Bousalem
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Agareb 40 / 100
Bousalem 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Agareb Bousalem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Agareb Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AS Agareb scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Bousalem conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

AS Agareb went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

AS Agareb VS Bousalem
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.13
25% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Agareb

(Home)
03 Oct
AS Agareb
0 : 3
Sporting Ben Arous
26 Sept
Stade Soussien
2 : 2
AS Agareb
11 May
Sfax Railways
2 : 1
AS Agareb
01 May
AS Agareb
1 : 0
Msaken
27 Apr
Bousalem
1 : 1
AS Agareb
Page 1 of 6

Bousalem

(Away)
11 May
Bousalem
2 : 2
Megrine
01 May
Chebba
5 : 1
Bousalem
27 Apr
Bousalem
1 : 1
AS Agareb
18 Apr
Sfax Railways
1 : 0
Bousalem
13 Apr
Bousalem
1 : 0
Msaken
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)