Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-0.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: EM Mahdia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- AS Agareb haven't matched EM Mahdia's recent run of results.
- Model gives EM Mahdia a 51% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
AS Agareb Clean Sheet 28%
EM Mahdia Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AS Agareb | EM Mahdia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 10 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 0.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.81 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 5, 2026 Ligue 2
AS Agareb vs EM Mahdia
0:0
Nov 7, 2025 Ligue 2
EM Mahdia vs AS Agareb
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AS Agareb 30 / 100
EM Mahdia 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AS Agareb EM Mahdia
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick EM Mahdia Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AS Agareb found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
EM Mahdia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
AS Agareb went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
H2H data points to 0.50 goals as a typical output.
Scoring Trends
AS Agareb VS EM Mahdia
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
AS Agareb
(Home) 03 Oct
AS Agareb
0 : 3 Sporting Ben Arous
26 Sept
Stade Soussien
2 : 2 AS Agareb
11 May
Sfax Railways
2 : 1 AS Agareb
01 May
AS Agareb
1 : 0 Msaken
27 Apr
Bousalem
1 : 1 AS Agareb
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03 Oct
AS Agareb
0 : 3 Sporting Ben Arous
01 May
AS Agareb
1 : 0 Msaken
21 Apr
AS Agareb
1 : 0 BS Bouhajla
05 Apr
AS Agareb
0 : 0 EM Mahdia
23 Mar
AS Agareb
1 : 4 Stade Gabesien
Page 1 of 3
EM Mahdia
(Away) 03 Oct
EM Mahdia
2 : 1 Kerkennah
26 Sept
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 2 EM Mahdia
10 Sept
EM Mahdia
3 : 0 Ksour Essef
11 May
EM Mahdia
1 : 3 Kerkennah
01 May
Menzel Bourguiba
1 : 0 EM Mahdia
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 2 EM Mahdia
01 May
Menzel Bourguiba
1 : 0 EM Mahdia
18 Apr
Megrine
0 : 0 EM Mahdia
05 Apr
AS Agareb
0 : 0 EM Mahdia
23 Mar
Ajim Djerba
2 : 0 EM Mahdia
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 36:14 | 51 |
| 3 | US Tataouine | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 34:16 | 51 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 30:19 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerkennah | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 27:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Chebba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:23 | 30 |
| 10 | Megrine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:35 | 30 |
| 11 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 18:25 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 22:33 | 28 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 15:42 | 17 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 54:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 43:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34:24 | 38 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 21:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Bouchamma | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 7 | Gafsa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:31 | 34 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Redeyef | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Djelma | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17:57 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
