Sport Picks
Match Events
68'
68'
Ayadi A.
(Penalty)
72'
72'
Souissi S.
AI Match Summary
The Ligue 2 2025/2026 game between AS Agareb and Kerkennah finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AS Agareb.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
36%
20%
44%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Kerkennah
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
44%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Kerkennah come out ahead of AS Agareb on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Kerkennah's way, sitting at 60%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
AS Agareb Clean Sheet 15%
Kerkennah Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | AS Agareb | Kerkennah |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 33 |
| Wins | 9 | 11 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 13 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.03 | 1.24 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.69 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 28, 2026 Ligue 2
AS Agareb vs Kerkennah
1:0
Oct 25, 2025 Ligue 2
Kerkennah vs AS Agareb
3:1
Mar 15, 2025 Ligue 2
AS Agareb vs Kerkennah
0:3
Nov 24, 2024 Ligue 2
Kerkennah vs AS Agareb
3:1
Dec 4, 2021 Tunisia Cup
Kerkennah vs AS Agareb
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
AS Agareb 19 / 100
Kerkennah 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AS Agareb Kerkennah
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Kerkennah Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
AS Agareb's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Kerkennah has conceded goals in 67% of their last 33 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
AS Agareb has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
AS Agareb VS Kerkennah
0.88 Goals Scored 2.13
1 Goals Conceded 0.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
AS Agareb
(Home) 03 Oct
AS Agareb
0 : 3 Sporting Ben Arous
26 Sept
Stade Soussien
2 : 2 AS Agareb
11 May
Sfax Railways
2 : 1 AS Agareb
01 May
AS Agareb
1 : 0 Msaken
27 Apr
Bousalem
1 : 1 AS Agareb
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
AS Agareb
0 : 3 Sporting Ben Arous
01 May
AS Agareb
1 : 0 Msaken
21 Apr
AS Agareb
1 : 0 BS Bouhajla
05 Apr
AS Agareb
0 : 0 EM Mahdia
23 Mar
AS Agareb
1 : 4 Stade Gabesien
Page 1 of 3
Kerkennah
(Away) 03 Oct
EM Mahdia
2 : 1 Kerkennah
26 Sept
Kerkennah
1 : 2 Msaken
20 Sept
Kerkennah
0 : 1 Ksour Essef
12 Sept
Kerkennah
5 : 0 Kalaa
11 May
EM Mahdia
1 : 3 Kerkennah
Page 1 of 7
03 Oct
EM Mahdia
2 : 1 Kerkennah
11 May
EM Mahdia
1 : 3 Kerkennah
18 Apr
Menzel Bourguiba
0 : 4 Kerkennah
04 Apr
Megrine
1 : 1 Kerkennah
28 Feb
AS Agareb
1 : 0 Kerkennah
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hamam-Sousse | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:19 | 51 |
| 2 | Hammam-Lif | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 36:14 | 51 |
| 3 | US Tataouine | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 34:16 | 51 |
| 4 | Sfax Railways | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 35:26 | 46 |
| 5 | Sporting Ben Arous | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 30:19 | 34 |
| 6 | Kerkennah | 26 | 8 | 10 | 8 | 27:27 | 34 |
| 7 | Chebba | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 33:37 | 33 |
| 8 | Msaken | 26 | 7 | 10 | 9 | 23:28 | 31 |
| 9 | BS Bouhajla | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 21:23 | 30 |
| 10 | Megrine | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 25:35 | 30 |
| 11 | EM Mahdia | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 18:25 | 28 |
| 12 | AS Agareb | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 22:33 | 28 |
| 13 | Bousalem | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 19:34 | 25 |
| 14 | Menzel Bourguiba | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 15:42 | 17 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PS Sakiet Eddaier | 26 | 16 | 8 | 2 | 54:15 | 56 |
| 2 | Stade Gabesien | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 43:16 | 53 |
| 3 | Kasserine | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 31:18 | 47 |
| 4 | Jendouba Sport | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 34:24 | 38 |
| 5 | Korba | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 21:20 | 37 |
| 6 | Bouchamma | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 35:30 | 35 |
| 7 | Gafsa | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 28:31 | 34 |
| 8 | Ariana | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 26:32 | 32 |
| 9 | Ksour Essef | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 40:34 | 32 |
| 10 | Redeyef | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:39 | 32 |
| 11 | Kalaa | 26 | 9 | 3 | 14 | 28:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Moknine | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29:36 | 29 |
| 13 | Djelma | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 16:33 | 26 |
| 14 | Sidi Bouzid | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 17:57 | 14 |
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
