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AS Agareb vs Msaken Prediction & H2H Stats

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

34' Event
Salhi H.

AI Match Summary

AS Agareb in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AS Agareb.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
AS Agareb
30%
Draws
31%
Msaken
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AS Agareb

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Msaken average 1.14 goals a game right now, well clear of AS Agareb's 1.03.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 38%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
AS Agareb Clean Sheet 68%
Msaken Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Agareb Msaken
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 11
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.03 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.48 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Ligue 2
AS Agareb vs Msaken
1:0
Dec 6, 2025 Ligue 2
Msaken vs AS Agareb
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS Agareb Compare

Top Goalscorer Salhi H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Msaken Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Agareb 41 / 100
Msaken 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Agareb Msaken

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Agareb Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: AS Agareb scored in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Msaken conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Recent resilience: AS Agareb stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Difficult form: Msaken registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AS Agareb VS Msaken
0.88 Goals Scored 0.63
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
38% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Agareb

(Home)
03 Oct
AS Agareb
0 : 3
Sporting Ben Arous
26 Sept
Stade Soussien
2 : 2
AS Agareb
11 May
Sfax Railways
2 : 1
AS Agareb
01 May
AS Agareb
1 : 0
Msaken
27 Apr
Bousalem
1 : 1
AS Agareb
Page 1 of 6

Msaken

(Away)
03 Oct
Msaken
0 : 0
Chebba
26 Sept
Kerkennah
1 : 2
Msaken
11 May
Msaken
2 : 4
Chebba
01 May
AS Agareb
1 : 0
Msaken
27 Apr
Msaken
1 : 3
Sfax Railways
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)