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Stadium Background

AS Agareb vs Stade Gabesien - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Tunisia Tunisia

Tunisia Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Khaoui A.
17' Event
Sassi K.
29' Event
Wajdi J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-4. The second leg ended 1-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
AS Agareb
35%
Draws
32%
Stade Gabesien
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • AS Agareb haven't matched Stade Gabesien's recent run of results.
  • Model gives AS Agareb a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Stade Gabesien arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Stade Gabesien, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
AS Agareb Clean Sheet 68%
Stade Gabesien Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Agareb Stade Gabesien
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 16
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.03 1.61
Goals Conceded 1.48 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2026 Tunisia Cup
AS Agareb vs Stade Gabesien
1:4
Mar 8, 2025 Ligue 2
Stade Gabesien vs AS Agareb
0:1
Nov 17, 2024 Ligue 2
AS Agareb vs Stade Gabesien
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS Agareb Compare

Top Goalscorer Bahri S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

Stade Gabesien Compare

Top Goalscorer Khaoui A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sassi K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Agareb 46 / 100
Stade Gabesien 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Agareb Stade Gabesien

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Agareb's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: AS Agareb remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: Stade Gabesien conceded in 50% of 28 recent games.

Scoring Trends

AS Agareb VS Stade Gabesien
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Agareb

(Home)
03 Oct
AS Agareb
0 : 3
Sporting Ben Arous
26 Sept
Stade Soussien
2 : 2
AS Agareb
11 May
Sfax Railways
2 : 1
AS Agareb
01 May
AS Agareb
1 : 0
Msaken
27 Apr
Bousalem
1 : 1
AS Agareb
Page 1 of 6

Stade Gabesien

(Away)
04 Oct
Stade Gabesien
0 : 0
Moknine
27 Sept
Ariana
1 : 1
Stade Gabesien
30 May
Hammam-Lif
3 : 0
Stade Gabesien
25 May
Stade Gabesien
2 : 0
US Tataouine
20 May
CS Sfaxien
2 : 1
Stade Gabesien
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
JS Kairouan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
CS Sfaxien -
Feriana -
TBD -
Hamam-Sousse 2
Jendouba Sport 3
Moknine 1
Sfax Railways 3
TBD -
ES Fahs -
CO Kram -
TBD -
AS Agareb 3
Sporting Ben Arous 2
Nefza -
TBD -
Stade Gabesien 2
Hammam-Lif 0
Gafsa Ksar -
TBD -
TBD -
Jebel Jeloud -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Etoile Sahel -
Monastir -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Club Africain -
Zarzis -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
MS Metlaoui -
TBD -
Korba 6
Kalaa 2
CA Bizertin -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Marsa -
Msaken 3
Sidi Bouzid 1
US Tataouine 3
Megrine 0
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ben Guerdane -
Bouchamma 1
Kerkennah 3
Ariana 0
PS Sakiet Eddaier 1
Sahline -
TBD -
TBD -
Oued Ellil -
Mornag -
TBD -
TBD -
Hassi Amor -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Olympique Beja -
Ajim Djerba -
TBD -
Redeyef 1
Djelma 2
Chebika -
TBD -
EM Mahdia 2
Kasserine 1
Jeunesse Sportive -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Sportive Kebili -
TBD -
TBD -
Guettar -
BS Bouhajla 1
Chebba 0
TBD -
Rades -
Ksour Essef -
TBD -
Menzel Bourguiba 1
Gafsa 2
Soliman -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Stade Tunisien -
Metlaoui -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Gabes -
WS Hamma -
TBD -
TBD -
Stir Zarzouna -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Esperance Tunis -
1/32-finals
JS Kairouan -
TBD -
TBD -
CS Sfaxien -
Feriana 1
Jendouba Sport 3
Sfax Railways -
ES Fahs -
CO Kram 2
AS Agareb 3
Nefza 0
Stade Gabesien 2
Gafsa Ksar 1
Jebel Jeloud 0
TBD -
Etoile Sahel -
Monastir -
TBD -
TBD -
Club Africain -
Zarzis -
TBD -
MS Metlaoui 0
Korba 2
CA Bizertin -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Marsa -
Msaken 3
US Tataouine 2
TBD -
Ben Guerdane -
Kerkennah 1
PS Sakiet Eddaier 2
Sahline 2
Oued Ellil 1
Mornag 3
Hassi Amor 2
TBD -
Olympique Beja -
Ajim Djerba 2
Djelma 0
Chebika 0
EM Mahdia 4
Jeunesse Sportive -
TBD -
Sportive Kebili 1
Guettar 0
BS Bouhajla 3
Rades 0
Ksour Essef 2
Gafsa 0
Soliman -
TBD -
TBD -
Stade Tunisien -
Metlaoui -
TBD -
TBD -
AS Gabes -
WS Hamma 1
Stir Zarzouna 0
TBD -
Esperance Tunis -
1/16-finals
JS Kairouan 0
CS Sfaxien 1
Jendouba Sport 2
Sfax Railways 0
AS Agareb 1
Stade Gabesien 4
Gafsa Ksar 0
Etoile Sahel 5
Monastir 1
Club Africain 0
Zarzis 1
Korba 0
CA Bizertin 3
AS Marsa 2
Msaken 4
Ben Guerdane 1
PS Sakiet Eddaier 6
Sahline 0
Mornag 1
Olympique Beja 2
Ajim Djerba 2
EM Mahdia 0
Jeunesse Sportive 1
Sportive Kebili 0
BS Bouhajla 2
Ksour Essef 1
Soliman 3
Stade Tunisien 2
Metlaoui 5
AS Gabes 2
WS Hamma 0
Esperance Tunis 5
1/8-finals
CS Sfaxien 2
Jendouba Sport 1
Stade Gabesien 4
Etoile Sahel 3
Monastir 1
Zarzis 2
CA Bizertin 2
Msaken 1
PS Sakiet Eddaier 2
Olympique Beja 1
Ajim Djerba 0
Jeunesse Sportive 2
BS Bouhajla 2
Soliman 1
Metlaoui 1
Esperance Tunis 3
Quarter-finals
CS Sfaxien 2
Stade Gabesien 1
Zarzis 2
CA Bizertin 0
PS Sakiet Eddaier 1
Jeunesse Sportive 2
BS Bouhajla 0
Esperance Tunis 3
Semi-finals
CS Sfaxien 0
Zarzis 1
Jeunesse Sportive 0
Esperance Tunis 1
Final
Zarzis 0
Esperance Tunis 1