Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AS Biellese vs Ligorna

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Germano U.
43' Event
Miccoli M.
49' Event
Beltrame S.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

AS Biellese in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored AS Biellese.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
AS Biellese
30%
Draws
33%
Ligorna
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AS Biellese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Ligorna have won more games recently than AS Biellese.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Ligorna here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
AS Biellese Clean Sheet 68%
Ligorna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Biellese Ligorna
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 18
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.59 2.03
Goals Conceded 0.86 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Serie D - Group A
AS Biellese vs Ligorna
3:1
Apr 19, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Ligorna vs AS Biellese
2:1
Dec 7, 2025 Serie D - Group A
AS Biellese vs Ligorna
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS Biellese Compare

Top Goalscorer Germano U.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sekka S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Ligorna Compare

Top Goalscorer Miccoli M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Biellese 41 / 100
Ligorna 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Biellese Ligorna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Biellese Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Biellese's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Defensive concern: Ligorna conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

AS Biellese went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AS Biellese VS Ligorna
1.63 Goals Scored 2.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Biellese

(Home)
20 Sept
AS Biellese
1 : 1
Chisola
16 Sept
Bra
0 : 1
AS Biellese
13 Sept
AS Biellese
3 : 1
Ligorna
06 Sept
Saluzzo
1 : 1
AS Biellese
09 May
AS Biellese
1 : 2
Varese FC
Page 1 of 6

Ligorna

(Away)
20 Sept
Celle Varazze
0 : 2
Ligorna
16 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 3
Derthona FbC
13 Sept
AS Biellese
3 : 1
Ligorna
06 Sept
Ligorna
2 : 2
Sanremese
17 May
Ligorna
5 : 3
Varese FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Derthona FbC 4 3 1 0 6:3 10
2 Saluzzo 4 2 2 0 8:4 8
3 AS Biellese 4 2 2 0 6:3 8
4 GSD Lascaris 4 2 2 0 3:1 8
5 Fezzanese 4 2 1 1 6:3 7
6 Asti Calcio 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
7 Millesimo 4 2 0 2 6:4 6
8 Alessandria 3 2 0 1 5:6 6
9 Sanremese 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
10 Gozzano 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
11 Imperia Calcio 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
12 Ligorna 4 1 1 2 7:8 4
13 Chisola 3 1 1 1 2:3 4
14 Sestri Levante 4 1 1 2 4:6 4
15 Bra 4 0 2 2 2:4 2
16 Borgosesia Calcio 3 0 2 1 1:3 2
17 Valenzana 4 0 1 3 4:7 1
18 Celle Varazze 4 0 0 4 1:7 0
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)