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AS Camberene vs Sonacos

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Ligue 1 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between AS Camberene and Sonacos finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
AS Camberene
35%
Draws
24%
Sonacos
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: AS Camberene

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Sonacos come out ahead of AS Camberene on wins alone.
  • AS Camberene are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
AS Camberene Clean Sheet 20%
Sonacos Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Camberene Sonacos
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 4
Draws 15 13
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 0.53 0.6
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Ligue 1
AS Camberene vs Sonacos
1:1
Feb 2, 2026 Ligue 1
Sonacos vs AS Camberene
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Camberene 42 / 100
Sonacos 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Camberene Sonacos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sonacos conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: AS Camberene remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

AS Camberene found the back of the net in 43% of recent matches (30 games).

Scoring Trends

AS Camberene VS Sonacos
0.38 Goals Scored 0.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Camberene

(Home)
04 Jun
AS Camberene
0 : 2
ASC Jaraaf
22 May
Pikine
1 : 2
AS Camberene
17 May
AS Camberene
1 : 1
Sonacos
13 May
Generation Foot
3 : 0
AS Camberene
10 May
AS Camberene
1 : 1
Linguere
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Sonacos

(Away)
04 Jun
Ouakam
2 : 1
Sonacos
22 May
Sonacos
0 : 0
ASC HLM
17 May
AS Camberene
1 : 1
Sonacos
13 May
Sonacos
0 : 3
Casa
10 May
ASC Jaraaf
0 : 0
Sonacos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Teungueth 30 13 15 2 21:6 54
2 AJEL 30 15 9 6 27:19 54
3 Generation Foot 30 13 9 8 37:22 48
4 US Goree 30 11 15 4 29:14 48
5 Wally Daan 30 10 14 6 29:24 44
6 Ouakam 30 8 18 4 23:16 42
7 ASC Jaraaf 30 9 14 7 21:16 41
8 Casa 30 7 19 4 29:20 40
9 Pikine 30 7 13 10 20:19 34
10 Mbour 30 5 18 7 18:21 33
11 ASC HLM 30 5 18 7 18:24 33
12 Dakar Sacre-Coeur 30 5 16 9 24:37 31
13 Guediawaye 30 7 8 15 29:34 28
14 Linguere 30 3 16 11 22:36 25
15 Sonacos 30 4 13 13 18:39 25
16 AS Camberene 30 3 15 12 16:34 24
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)