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AS Capoise vs Arcahaie

Haiti Haiti

Championnat National 2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%
AS Capoise
35%
Draws
46%
Arcahaie
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Arcahaie

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • AS Capoise have managed 0.77 goals a game lately — Arcahaie are scoring more at 1.
  • Model gives Arcahaie a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor AS Capoise, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
AS Capoise Clean Sheet 20%
Arcahaie Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Capoise Arcahaie
Matches Played 35 27
Wins 11 11
Draws 10 7
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.77 1
Goals Conceded 0.89 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 3, 2021 Championnat National
Arcahaie vs AS Capoise
1:0
Dec 30, 2020 Championnat National
AS Capoise vs Arcahaie
0:0
Nov 9, 2020 Championnat National
AS Capoise vs Arcahaie
0:1
Mar 8, 2020 Championnat National
AS Capoise vs Arcahaie
2:0
Aug 25, 2019 Championnat National
AS Capoise vs Arcahaie
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Capoise 20 / 100
Arcahaie 57 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Capoise Arcahaie

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Arcahaie Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

AS Capoise's goal record stands at 54% scoring rate across 35 recent games.

Arcahaie let in goals in 48% of their last 27 matches.

AS Capoise has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

AS Capoise VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
50% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Capoise

(Home)
28 Jul
AS Capoise
0 : 3
La Clery
26 Jul
AS Capoise
0 : 3
Academy Eagles
01 Jun
AS Capoise
2 : 3
Juventus
28 May
AS Capoise
0 : 0
Fica
25 May
Fica
1 : 1
AS Capoise
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Arcahaie

(Away)
16 May
Arcahaie
0 : 2
Waterhouse
13 May
Vega Real
2 : 1
Arcahaie
30 May
Ouanaminthe
0 : 3
Arcahaie
16 May
Triomphe Liancourt
1 : 1
Arcahaie
13 May
Fica
0 : 0
Arcahaie
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Baltimore -
TBD -
Violette 4
Triomphe Liancourt 2
Arcahaie -
TBD -
AS Capoise 4
Racing Haitien 3
Semi-finals
Baltimore 0
Violette 2
Arcahaie 1
AS Capoise 0
Final
Violette 3
Arcahaie 1