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AS Capoise vs Ouanaminthe

Haiti Haiti

Championnat National 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Championnat National 2024 game between AS Capoise and Ouanaminthe finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward AS Capoise.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
AS Capoise
30%
Draws
47%
Ouanaminthe
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ouanaminthe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Ouanaminthe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 62.2%
AS Capoise Clean Sheet 20%
Ouanaminthe Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Capoise Ouanaminthe
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 10
Draws 8 8
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.72 0.9
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2025 Championnat National
AS Capoise vs Ouanaminthe
1:0
Mar 30, 2025 Championnat National
Ouanaminthe vs AS Capoise
0:1
Apr 28, 2024 Championnat National
Ouanaminthe vs AS Capoise
1:0
Mar 31, 2024 Championnat National
AS Capoise vs Ouanaminthe
2:0
Nov 29, 2020 Championnat National
AS Capoise vs Ouanaminthe
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Capoise 36 / 100
Ouanaminthe 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Capoise Ouanaminthe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ouanaminthe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ouanaminthe conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Away concern: Ouanaminthe has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

AS Capoise found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 1.40 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

AS Capoise VS Ouanaminthe
0.88 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Capoise

(Home)
28 Jul
AS Capoise
0 : 3
La Clery
26 Jul
AS Capoise
0 : 3
Academy Eagles
01 Jun
AS Capoise
2 : 3
Juventus
28 May
AS Capoise
0 : 0
Fica
25 May
Fica
1 : 1
AS Capoise
Page 1 of 6

Ouanaminthe

(Away)
04 May
Ouanaminthe
0 : 1
Real Hope
27 Apr
AS Capoise
1 : 0
Ouanaminthe
20 Apr
Ouanaminthe
1 : 1
Fica
06 Apr
Real Hope
0 : 1
Ouanaminthe
30 Mar
Ouanaminthe
0 : 1
AS Capoise
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Hope 8 5 0 3 10:5 15
2 Ouanaminthe 8 4 1 3 6:6 13
3 Racing des Gonaives 8 3 3 2 9:8 12
4 AS Capoise 8 3 2 3 6:6 11
5 Fica 8 1 2 5 2:8 5
Promotion - Championnat National 2024 (Serie de Ouverture - 2nd Phase)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cosmopolites 8 3 3 2 5:4 12
2 Baltimore 8 3 3 2 4:3 12
3 Tempete 8 2 5 1 4:3 11
4 Triomphe Liancourt 8 2 3 3 3:5 9
5 Rivartibonitienne 8 2 2 4 3:4 8
Promotion - Championnat National 2024 (Serie de Ouverture - 2nd Phase)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America des Cayes 6 4 2 0 15:3 14
2 Cavaly 6 2 3 1 8:7 9
3 Racing Haitien 6 1 3 2 3:9 6
4 Juventus 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
5 Violette 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Championnat National 2024 (Serie de Ouverture - 2nd Phase)