Sport Picks

Stadium Background

AS Capoise vs Racing des Gonaives - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Haiti Haiti

Championnat National 2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Championnat National 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
AS Capoise
35%
Draws
52%
Racing des Gonaives
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Racing des Gonaives

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AS Capoise lately — more wins on the board than Racing des Gonaives.
  • Model gives Racing des Gonaives a 52% chance of winning this.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Championnat National 2024 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61%
AS Capoise Clean Sheet 20%
Racing des Gonaives Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Capoise Racing des Gonaives
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 7
Draws 8 12
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 0.73 0.73
Goals Conceded 0.83 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2024 Championnat National
AS Capoise vs Racing des Gonaives
1:1
Mar 13, 2024 Championnat National
Racing des Gonaives vs AS Capoise
2:0
May 23, 2021 Championnat National
Racing des Gonaives vs AS Capoise
0:0
Oct 17, 2020 Championnat National
AS Capoise vs Racing des Gonaives
1:0
Oct 27, 2019 Championnat National
AS Capoise vs Racing des Gonaives
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Capoise 20 / 100
Racing des Gonaives 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Capoise Racing des Gonaives

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Racing des Gonaives Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Capoise's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Racing des Gonaives has conceded goals in 50% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.

AS Capoise went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AS Capoise VS Racing des Gonaives
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
38% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Capoise

(Home)
28 Jul
AS Capoise
0 : 3
La Clery
26 Jul
AS Capoise
0 : 3
Academy Eagles
01 Jun
AS Capoise
2 : 3
Juventus
28 May
AS Capoise
0 : 0
Fica
25 May
Fica
1 : 1
AS Capoise
Page 1 of 6

Racing des Gonaives

(Away)
28 Apr
Racing des Gonaives
1 : 0
Fica
21 Apr
Racing des Gonaives
3 : 2
Ouanaminthe
14 Apr
Real Hope
3 : 1
Racing des Gonaives
10 Apr
AS Capoise
1 : 1
Racing des Gonaives
30 Mar
Fica
0 : 0
Racing des Gonaives
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Real Hope 8 5 0 3 10:5 15
2 Ouanaminthe 8 4 1 3 6:6 13
3 Racing des Gonaives 8 3 3 2 9:8 12
4 AS Capoise 8 3 2 3 6:6 11
5 Fica 8 1 2 5 2:8 5
Promotion - Championnat National 2024 (Serie de Ouverture - 2nd Phase)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cosmopolites 8 3 3 2 5:4 12
2 Baltimore 8 3 3 2 4:3 12
3 Tempete 8 2 5 1 4:3 11
4 Triomphe Liancourt 8 2 3 3 3:5 9
5 Rivartibonitienne 8 2 2 4 3:4 8
Promotion - Championnat National 2024 (Serie de Ouverture - 2nd Phase)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America des Cayes 6 4 2 0 15:3 14
2 Cavaly 6 2 3 1 8:7 9
3 Racing Haitien 6 1 3 2 3:9 6
4 Juventus 6 0 2 4 2:9 2
5 Violette 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Championnat National 2024 (Serie de Ouverture - 2nd Phase)