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AS Douanes vs Bobo-Dioulasso

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League Stade Demba Diop
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

AS Douanes play Bobo-Dioulasso in the Premier League. AS Douanes are favorites here. Recently, AS Douanes averaged 0.97 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. Bobo-Dioulasso averaged 0.37 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. In past meetings, AS Douanes won 2, Bobo-Dioulasso won 0, and they drew 3. Their last match on Feb 20, 2026 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for AS Douanes and 1.00 for Bobo-Dioulasso. This points to a AS Douanes double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
AS Douanes
25%
Draws
15%
Bobo-Dioulasso
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: AS Douanes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • AS Douanes picked up more points recently compared to Bobo-Dioulasso.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 51%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 15%
Over 4.5 Goals 8%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
AS Douanes Clean Sheet 23%
Bobo-Dioulasso Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 46%
Second Half Goal 48%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Douanes Bobo-Dioulasso
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 13 9
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 0.97 0.37
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 20, 2026 Premier League
AS Douanes vs Bobo-Dioulasso
0:0
Nov 28, 2025 Premier League
Bobo-Dioulasso vs AS Douanes
0:2
Apr 6, 2025 Premier League
AS Douanes vs Bobo-Dioulasso
2:1
Nov 5, 2024 Premier League
Bobo-Dioulasso vs AS Douanes
1:1
May 25, 2024 Premier League
Bobo-Dioulasso vs AS Douanes
2:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Douanes 59 / 100
Bobo-Dioulasso 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Douanes Bobo-Dioulasso

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Douanes Win (1)
Secondary Pick AS Douanes & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +31.5%
5.26
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

AS Douanes attacking → ← attacking Bobo-Dioulasso

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Douanes scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Bobo-Dioulasso let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

AS Douanes went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Bobo-Dioulasso lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

43 Points in last 5 27
0.75 Goals expected (xG) 0.75
0.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Rahimo30209147:1569
2USFA301213531:1749
3Sporting Cascades301013725:1843
4AS Douanes301013729:2943
5Majestic301110926:2743
6CFFEB3010101025:2540
7Salitas3010101029:3140
8Kadiogo301081227:2738
9ASFA Yennega309111024:2838
10Vitesse309101125:2537
11Real Du Faso309101121:2337
12ASF Dioulasso309101125:3137
13Sonabel Ouagadougou308121024:2836
14Etoile Filante307121122:2933
15Bobo-Dioulasso30691511:2827
16AJE Bobo-Dioulasso30681627:3726