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AS Douanes vs CFFEB

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League Stade Demba Diop, Dakar
Our Tip

Match Events

33' Event
Ilboudo P.
56' Event
Bonkoungou H.
74' Event
Traore M.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between AS Douanes and CFFEB finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CFFEB.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
AS Douanes
20%
Draws
52%
CFFEB
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: CFFEB

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • AS Douanes's 0.97 goals per match outpaces what CFFEB have produced (0.83).
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on CFFEB taking it.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
AS Douanes Clean Sheet 20%
CFFEB Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Douanes CFFEB
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 10
Draws 13 10
Losses 7 10
Goals Scored 0.97 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Premier League
AS Douanes vs CFFEB
1:2
Sep 21, 2025 Premier League
CFFEB vs AS Douanes
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS Douanes Compare

Top Goalscorer Traore M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

CFFEB Compare

Top Goalscorer Ilboudo P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bonkoungou H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Douanes 24 / 100
CFFEB 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Douanes CFFEB

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CFFEB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Douanes scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

CFFEB's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

AS Douanes went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AS Douanes VS CFFEB
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Douanes

(Home)
10 May
AS Douanes
1 : 2
CFFEB
03 May
Salitas
2 : 1
AS Douanes
26 Apr
AS Douanes
2 : 1
Sonabel Ouagadougou
17 Apr
AS Douanes
1 : 1
AJE Bobo-Dioulasso
10 Apr
Vitesse
0 : 1
AS Douanes
Page 1 of 6

CFFEB

(Away)
10 May
AS Douanes
1 : 2
CFFEB
03 May
CFFEB
3 : 2
Vitesse
26 Apr
CFFEB
2 : 1
Bobo-Dioulasso
18 Apr
Majestic
0 : 1
CFFEB
12 Apr
Sonabel Ouagadougou
1 : 1
CFFEB
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rahimo 30 20 9 1 47:15 69
2 USFA 30 12 13 5 31:17 49
3 Sporting Cascades 30 10 13 7 25:18 43
4 AS Douanes 30 10 13 7 29:29 43
5 Majestic 30 11 10 9 26:27 43
6 CFFEB 30 10 10 10 25:25 40
7 Salitas 30 10 10 10 29:31 40
8 Kadiogo 30 10 8 12 27:27 38
9 ASFA Yennega 30 9 11 10 24:28 38
10 Vitesse 30 9 10 11 25:25 37
11 Real Du Faso 30 9 10 11 21:23 37
12 ASF Dioulasso 30 9 10 11 25:31 37
13 Sonabel Ouagadougou 30 8 12 10 24:28 36
14 Etoile Filante 30 7 12 11 22:29 33
15 Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 9 15 11:28 27
16 AJE Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 8 16 27:37 26
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)