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AS Douanes vs Real Du Faso - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League 2025/2026 Stade Demba Diop, Dakar
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Boakye M.

AI Match Summary

AS Douanes in this Premier League 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored AS Douanes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
AS Douanes
20%
Draws
58%
Real Du Faso
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Real Du Faso

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to AS Douanes lately — more wins on the board than Real Du Faso.
  • Real Du Faso are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Premier League 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26%
AS Douanes Clean Sheet 23%
Real Du Faso Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Douanes Real Du Faso
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 9
Draws 11 10
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 0.93 0.76
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.83
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Premier League
AS Douanes vs Real Du Faso
1:0
Nov 7, 2025 Premier League
Real Du Faso vs AS Douanes
2:3
Feb 22, 2025 Premier League
Real Du Faso vs AS Douanes
0:4
Dec 2, 2024 Premier League
AS Douanes vs Real Du Faso
0:0
Jan 29, 2023 Premier League
AS Douanes vs Real Du Faso
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS Douanes Compare

Top Goalscorer Boakye M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Real Du Faso Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Douanes 29 / 100
Real Du Faso 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Douanes Real Du Faso

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Du Faso Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Douanes found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Real Du Faso has conceded goals in 48% of their last 29 outings.

AS Douanes went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AS Douanes VS Real Du Faso
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Douanes

(Home)
03 Oct
Rahimo
1 : 2
AS Douanes
27 Sept
AS Douanes
0 : 1
Sporting Cascades
19 Sept
FocuSport
1 : 0
AS Douanes
10 May
AS Douanes
1 : 2
CFFEB
03 May
Salitas
2 : 1
AS Douanes
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Real Du Faso

(Away)
02 Oct
Salitas
1 : 3
Real Du Faso
26 Sept
Real Du Faso
1 : 1
Maya
20 Sept
Rahimo
2 : 1
Real Du Faso
10 May
Real Du Faso
0 : 0
Etoile Filante
03 May
ASFA Yennega
0 : 1
Real Du Faso
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Rahimo 30 20 9 1 47:15 69
2 USFA 30 12 13 5 31:17 49
3 Sporting Cascades 30 10 13 7 25:18 43
4 AS Douanes 30 10 13 7 29:29 43
5 Majestic 30 11 10 9 26:27 43
6 CFFEB 30 10 10 10 25:25 40
7 Salitas 30 10 10 10 29:31 40
8 Kadiogo 30 10 8 12 27:27 38
9 ASFA Yennega 30 9 11 10 24:28 38
10 Vitesse 30 9 10 11 25:25 37
11 Real Du Faso 30 9 10 11 21:23 37
12 ASF Dioulasso 30 9 10 11 25:31 37
13 Sonabel Ouagadougou 30 8 12 10 24:28 36
14 Etoile Filante 30 7 12 11 22:29 33
15 Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 9 15 11:28 27
16 AJE Bobo-Dioulasso 30 6 8 16 27:37 26
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)