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AS Douanes vs Sporting Cascades - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Burkina Faso Burkina Faso

Premier League Stade Demba Diop, Dakar
Our Tip

Match Events

83' Event
Zongo M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Sporting Cascades in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sporting Cascades.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
AS Douanes
15%
Draws
59%
Sporting Cascades
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sporting Cascades

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • AS Douanes average 0.93 goals a game right now, well clear of Sporting Cascades's 0.84.
  • 59% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
AS Douanes Clean Sheet 21%
Sporting Cascades Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Douanes Sporting Cascades
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 10 10
Draws 11 13
Losses 9 8
Goals Scored 0.93 0.84
Goals Conceded 1 0.68
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Premier League
AS Douanes vs Sporting Cascades
0:1
Mar 10, 2026 Premier League
AS Douanes vs Sporting Cascades
0:0
Nov 15, 2025 Premier League
Sporting Cascades vs AS Douanes
0:1
May 17, 2025 Premier League
AS Douanes vs Sporting Cascades
1:1
Oct 5, 2024 Premier League
Sporting Cascades vs AS Douanes
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Douanes 37 / 100
Sporting Cascades 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Douanes Sporting Cascades

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sporting Cascades Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AS Douanes found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

Sporting Cascades let in goals in 45% of their last 31 matches.

These sides typically produce 0.80 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: AS Douanes stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AS Douanes VS Sporting Cascades
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Douanes

(Home)
03 Oct
Rahimo
1 : 2
AS Douanes
27 Sept
AS Douanes
0 : 1
Sporting Cascades
19 Sept
FocuSport
1 : 0
AS Douanes
10 May
AS Douanes
1 : 2
CFFEB
03 May
Salitas
2 : 1
AS Douanes
Page 1 of 6

Sporting Cascades

(Away)
04 Oct
Sporting Cascades
2 : 3
FocuSport
27 Sept
AS Douanes
0 : 1
Sporting Cascades
19 Sept
Sporting Cascades
0 : 0
CFFEB
10 May
AJE Bobo-Dioulasso
4 : 2
Sporting Cascades
03 May
Sporting Cascades
2 : 1
Majestic
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 USFA 3 3 0 0 6:0 9
2 FocuSport 3 3 0 0 7:4 9
3 Vitesse 3 2 1 0 6:3 7
4 ASFA Yennega 3 2 0 1 3:1 6
5 Rahimo 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
6 Majestic 4 2 0 2 3:4 6
7 Real Du Faso 3 1 1 1 5:4 4
8 Maya 3 1 1 1 2:2 4
9 Sporting Cascades 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
10 ASF Dioulasso 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
11 CFFEB 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
12 Sonabel Ouagadougou 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
13 AS Douanes 3 1 0 2 2:3 3
14 US Comoe 3 1 0 2 1:3 3
15 Kadiogo 3 0 1 2 2:5 1
16 Salitas 4 0 1 3 3:9 1
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2027/2028 (Qualification)