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AS Dragon vs Auckland City

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Champions League 2012/2013
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AI Match Summary

The OFC Champions League 2012/2013 game between AS Dragon and Auckland City finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

14%
AS Dragon
15%
Draws
71%
Auckland City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Auckland City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / High Confidence
  • Auckland City carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 71% — that's where the model lands on Auckland City taking it.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this OFC Champions League 2012/2013 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
AS Dragon Clean Sheet 19%
Auckland City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Dragon Auckland City
Matches Played 21 32
Wins 6 20
Draws 3 5
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.48 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.33 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.24
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2014 OFC Champions League
AS Dragon vs Auckland City
0:3
Apr 28, 2013 OFC Champions League
AS Dragon vs Auckland City
1:1
Apr 17, 2013 OFC Champions League
Auckland City vs AS Dragon
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Dragon 10 / 100
Auckland City 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Dragon Auckland City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Auckland City Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Auckland City let in goals in 66% of their last 32 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: AS Dragon scored in 57% of their last 21 outings.

AS Dragon has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Auckland City
0 Goals Scored 1.38
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Dragon

(Home)
30 Nov
SU Dives
6 : 1
AS Dragon
17 Nov
AS Dragon
3 : 2
Avranches
25 Feb
Pirae
7 : 3
AS Dragon
18 Feb
AS Dragon
0 : 2
Pirae
18 Nov
Versailles
2 : 0
AS Dragon
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Auckland City

(Away)
22 Aug
Auckland City
2 : 0
Central Coast
19 Aug
Auckland City
3 : 1
Rewa
16 Aug
Auckland City
4 : 3
Venus
13 Aug
Tiga Sport
0 : 1
Auckland City
10 Aug
Central Coast
1 : 2
Auckland City
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ba 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Amicale 6 3 1 2 7:4 10
3 PNG Hekari 6 1 1 4 5:12 4
4 Solomon Warriors 6 1 1 4 7:15 4
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2012/2013 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2012/2013 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Waitakere United 6 4 1 1 9:6 13
2 Auckland City 6 3 1 2 19:8 10
3 AS Dragon 6 2 3 1 9:5 9
4 Mont Dore 6 0 1 5 7:25 1
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2012/2013 (Play Offs)
Promotion - OFC Champions League 2012/2013 (Play Offs)