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AS Dragons vs Mazembe - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

DR Congo DR Congo

Super Ligue 2018/2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Mazembe in this Super Ligue 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mazembe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
AS Dragons
15%
Draws
85%
Mazembe
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mazembe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Mazembe lately — more wins on the board than AS Dragons.
  • Model gives Mazembe a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Mazembe have won 4 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 58.6%
AS Dragons Clean Sheet 13%
Mazembe Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Dragons Mazembe
Matches Played 30 39
Wins 3 31
Draws 5 4
Losses 22 4
Goals Scored 0.4 2.08
Goals Conceded 1.77 0.41
Expected Goals (xG) 0.92 1.68
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2019 Ligue 1
AS Dragons vs Mazembe
0:3
Dec 18, 2018 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs AS Dragons
3:0
May 31, 2018 Ligue 1
AS Dragons vs Mazembe
0:1
Mar 21, 2018 Ligue 1
Mazembe vs AS Dragons
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Dragons 10 / 100
Mazembe 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Dragons Mazembe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mazembe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Attacking prowess: AS Dragons scored in 27% of their last 30 outings.

Mazembe's defensive record shows goals conceded in 28% of 39 matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mazembe
0 Goals Scored 2.25
0 Goals Conceded 0.63
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Dragons

(Home)
12 May
Mont Bleu
3 : 0
AS Dragons
09 May
Dauphins Noirs
1 : 0
AS Dragons
07 May
AS Dragons
0 : 3
Mazembe
05 May
St Eloi Lupopo
2 : 1
AS Dragons
25 Apr
Muungano
3 : 0
AS Dragons
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Mazembe

(Away)
12 Sept
Mazembe
3 : 1
Medeama
06 Sept
Medeama
0 : 1
Mazembe
20 Jun
Mazembe
2 : 0
Celeste
17 Jun
Don Bosco
0 : 3
Mazembe
14 Jun
Mazembe
0 : 0
St Eloi Lupopo
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mazembe 30 27 2 1 82:11 83
2 AS Vita Club 30 23 5 2 60:15 74
3 Motema Pembe 30 19 6 5 47:25 63
4 AS Maniema 30 17 6 7 40:23 57
5 Sanga Balende 30 11 9 10 37:29 42
6 St Eloi Lupopo 30 10 11 9 25:25 41
7 Dauphins Noirs 30 11 7 12 29:41 40
8 Nyuki 30 10 8 12 28:32 38
9 OC Renaissance 30 10 8 12 28:40 38
10 AC Rangers 30 10 7 13 30:33 37
11 Don Bosco 30 9 9 12 34:36 36
12 Groupe Bazano 30 9 7 14 25:30 34
13 Lubumbashi Sport 30 8 8 14 35:42 32
14 Mont Bleu 30 7 9 14 28:44 30
15 AS Dragons 30 3 5 22 12:53 14
16 Muungano 30 2 1 27 10:71 7
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2019/2020 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2019/2020 (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2019/2020 (Qualification)