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AS Fortuna Mfou vs Bamenda

Cameroon Cameroon

Elite One
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Asah S.
78' Event
Nguimbat J.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Elite One game between AS Fortuna Mfou and Bamenda finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
AS Fortuna Mfou
30%
Draws
16%
Bamenda
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: AS Fortuna Mfou

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Bamenda come out ahead of AS Fortuna Mfou on wins alone.
  • Model gives AS Fortuna Mfou a 54% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
AS Fortuna Mfou Clean Sheet 10%
Bamenda Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Fortuna Mfou Bamenda
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 10
Draws 8 7
Losses 16 13
Goals Scored 0.9 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 7, 2026 Elite One
AS Fortuna Mfou vs Bamenda
1:1
Mar 18, 2026 Elite One
Bamenda vs AS Fortuna Mfou
0:0
Jun 16, 2025 Elite One
AS Fortuna Mfou vs Bamenda
3:1
Feb 23, 2025 Elite One
Bamenda vs AS Fortuna Mfou
1:2
Apr 23, 2024 Elite One
AS Fortuna Mfou vs Bamenda
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS Fortuna Mfou Compare

Top Goalscorer Asah S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Bamenda Compare

Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Fortuna Mfou 56 / 100
Bamenda 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Fortuna Mfou Bamenda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AS Fortuna Mfou Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bamenda's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

AS Fortuna Mfou went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Bamenda registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

AS Fortuna Mfou VS Bamenda
0.5 Goals Scored 2.13
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Fortuna Mfou

(Home)
01 Jul
APEJES Academy
2 : 0
AS Fortuna Mfou
27 Jun
AS Fortuna Mfou
1 : 2
Stade Renard
21 Jun
Fauve Azur Elite
2 : 4
AS Fortuna Mfou
14 Jun
AS Fortuna Mfou
2 : 1
Victoria United
07 Jun
AS Fortuna Mfou
1 : 1
Bamenda
Page 1 of 6

Bamenda

(Away)
28 Jun
Aigle Moungo
2 : 1
Bamenda
21 Jun
Bamenda
0 : 3
Dynamo Douala
14 Jun
Bamenda
1 : 2
Colombe
07 Jun
AS Fortuna Mfou
1 : 1
Bamenda
04 Jun
Bamenda
2 : 2
Canon Yaounde
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombe 26 16 7 3 47:13 55
2 Dynamo Douala 26 17 4 5 54:25 55
3 Bafang 26 15 4 7 44:37 49
4 Cotonsport 26 12 8 6 37:23 44
5 Canon Yaounde 26 10 9 7 31:20 39
6 Panthere 26 10 5 11 32:26 35
7 Bamenda 26 10 4 12 41:42 34
8 Gazelle 26 9 6 11 24:29 33
9 Victoria United 26 10 3 13 33:42 33
10 Stade Renard 26 7 10 9 36:38 31
11 Aigle Moungo 26 8 6 12 25:38 30
12 Aigle Royal 26 7 8 11 30:33 29
13 AS Fortuna Mfou 26 5 6 15 20:48 21
14 Fauve Azur Elite 26 5 2 19 17:57 17
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Elite One (Relegation)