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AS Fortuna Mfou vs Colombe

Cameroon Cameroon

Elite One
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Bayebahe Lima S.
40' Event
Edzimbii P.
50' Event
Edzimbii P.

AI Match Summary

The Elite One game between AS Fortuna Mfou and Colombe finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Colombe.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
AS Fortuna Mfou
20%
Draws
52%
Colombe
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Colombe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Colombe carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Colombe taking it.
  • Regular Elite One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
AS Fortuna Mfou Clean Sheet 11%
Colombe Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric AS Fortuna Mfou Colombe
Matches Played 30 34
Wins 6 18
Draws 8 10
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 0.9 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.83 0.56
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2026 Elite One
AS Fortuna Mfou vs Colombe
0:3
Feb 8, 2026 Elite One
Colombe vs AS Fortuna Mfou
0:1
Jun 1, 2025 Elite One
Colombe vs AS Fortuna Mfou
1:1
Feb 9, 2025 Elite One
AS Fortuna Mfou vs Colombe
1:2
Feb 18, 2024 Elite One
AS Fortuna Mfou vs Colombe
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

AS Fortuna Mfou Compare

Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Colombe Compare

Top Goalscorer Edzimbii P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bayebahe Lima S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

AS Fortuna Mfou 10 / 100
Colombe 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
AS Fortuna Mfou Colombe

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colombe Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Solid form: AS Fortuna Mfou remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

AS Fortuna Mfou found the back of the net in 50% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Colombe conceded in 44% of 34 recent games.

Scoring Trends

AS Fortuna Mfou VS Colombe
1 Goals Scored 2.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.38
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

AS Fortuna Mfou

(Home)
01 Jul
APEJES Academy
2 : 0
AS Fortuna Mfou
27 Jun
AS Fortuna Mfou
1 : 2
Stade Renard
21 Jun
Fauve Azur Elite
2 : 4
AS Fortuna Mfou
14 Jun
AS Fortuna Mfou
2 : 1
Victoria United
07 Jun
AS Fortuna Mfou
1 : 1
Bamenda
Page 1 of 6

Colombe

(Away)
13 Sept
Stade Malien
0 : 1
Colombe
06 Sept
Colombe
0 : 0
Stade Malien
28 Jun
Colombe
7 : 0
Fauve Azur Elite
21 Jun
Colombe
1 : 0
Aigle Royal
14 Jun
Bamenda
1 : 2
Colombe
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colombe 26 16 7 3 47:13 55
2 Dynamo Douala 26 17 4 5 54:25 55
3 Bafang 26 15 4 7 44:37 49
4 Cotonsport 26 12 8 6 37:23 44
5 Canon Yaounde 26 10 9 7 31:20 39
6 Panthere 26 10 5 11 32:26 35
7 Bamenda 26 10 4 12 41:42 34
8 Gazelle 26 9 6 11 24:29 33
9 Victoria United 26 10 3 13 33:42 33
10 Stade Renard 26 7 10 9 36:38 31
11 Aigle Moungo 26 8 6 12 25:38 30
12 Aigle Royal 26 7 8 11 30:33 29
13 AS Fortuna Mfou 26 5 6 15 20:48 21
14 Fauve Azur Elite 26 5 2 19 17:57 17
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation - Elite One (Relegation)